|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Reverses from 50-DMA, key resistance line on disappointing Australia data

  • AUD/JPY takes offers to refresh intraday low, snaps three-day uptrend while reversing from two-week high.
  • Australia Monthly CPI, Building Permits for July push back RBA hawks.
  • Sluggish oscillators join U-turn from key technical hurdles and hawkish BoJ bias to tease sellers.

AUD/JPY takes a U-turn from a two-week high while declining to 94.15 on the downbeat Australian inflation data amid early Wednesday. In doing so, the cross-currency pair also justifies disappointing housing market numbers from the Pacific major while reversing from the 50-DMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from June 19.

Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) flashed the 4.9% YoY figures for July versus 5.2% expected and 5.4% prior while the Building Permits slumps with -8.1% figure for the said month compared to -0.8% market forecasts and -7.7% figures reported in June.

Given the sluggish oscillators and the recent hawkish concerns about the Bank of Japan (BoJ), the AUD/JPY may extend the latest pullback towards the 94.00 round figure. However, the one-week-old support line near 93.90 may prod the bears afterward.

In a case where the AUD/JPY pair breaks the immediate support, it can easily slump to the 100-DMA level of around 93.25.

Meanwhile, the aforementioned resistance line and the 50-DMA, respectively near 94.50 and 94.70, guard the immediate recovery of the AUD/JPY pair.

However, the pair sellers remain hopeful unless they witness a clear upside break of the previous support line stretched from late March, close to 95.80 at the latest.

AUD/JPY: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price94.36
Today Daily Change-0.17
Today Daily Change %-0.18%
Today daily open94.53
 
Trends
Daily SMA2093.82
Daily SMA5094.7
Daily SMA10093.18
Daily SMA20091.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High94.6
Previous Daily Low94.05
Previous Weekly High94.18
Previous Weekly Low92.83
Previous Monthly High96.84
Previous Monthly Low91.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%94.39
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%94.26
Daily Pivot Point S194.18
Daily Pivot Point S293.84
Daily Pivot Point S393.63
Daily Pivot Point R194.74
Daily Pivot Point R294.94
Daily Pivot Point R395.29

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1650 amid weaker US Dollar

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1650 in the European session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut at its December meeting on Wednesday keeps the US Dollar undermined across the board, supporting the pair amid strong German Industrial Production data. Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence data is next in focus. 

GBP/USD consolidates above 1.3300 as traders await Fed rate decision

GBP/USD kicks off the new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow trading band above 1.3300 in European trading on Monday. The pair, however, remains close to the highest level since October 22, with bulls awaiting a sustained strength on a potential dovish Fed verdict due later this Wednesday. 

Gold holds firm above $4,200; awaits Fed rate decision on Wednesday before the next leg up

Gold sticks to its modest intraday gains through the early European session, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains confined in a one-week-old trading range. The growing acceptance that the US Federal Reserve will lower borrowing costs again this week keeps the US Dollar depressed near a one-month low and acts as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Bitcoin and Ethereum aim for breakouts as Ripple holds at $2

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record a minor recovery on Monday, starting the week on a positive note. The retail demand for major cryptocurrencies remains strong despite outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds.

The Silver disconnection is real

Silver just hit a new all-time high. Neither did gold, nor mining stocks. They all reversed on an intraday basis, but silver’s move to new highs makes it still bullish overall, while the almost complete reversals in gold and miners make the latter technically bearish.

Top 3 Price Predictions: Bitcoin and Ethereum aim for breakouts as Ripple holds at $2

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record a minor recovery on Monday, starting the week on a positive note. The retail demand for major cryptocurrencies remains strong despite outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).