|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Reverses from 50-DMA, key resistance line on disappointing Australia data

  • AUD/JPY takes offers to refresh intraday low, snaps three-day uptrend while reversing from two-week high.
  • Australia Monthly CPI, Building Permits for July push back RBA hawks.
  • Sluggish oscillators join U-turn from key technical hurdles and hawkish BoJ bias to tease sellers.

AUD/JPY takes a U-turn from a two-week high while declining to 94.15 on the downbeat Australian inflation data amid early Wednesday. In doing so, the cross-currency pair also justifies disappointing housing market numbers from the Pacific major while reversing from the 50-DMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from June 19.

Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) flashed the 4.9% YoY figures for July versus 5.2% expected and 5.4% prior while the Building Permits slumps with -8.1% figure for the said month compared to -0.8% market forecasts and -7.7% figures reported in June.

Given the sluggish oscillators and the recent hawkish concerns about the Bank of Japan (BoJ), the AUD/JPY may extend the latest pullback towards the 94.00 round figure. However, the one-week-old support line near 93.90 may prod the bears afterward.

In a case where the AUD/JPY pair breaks the immediate support, it can easily slump to the 100-DMA level of around 93.25.

Meanwhile, the aforementioned resistance line and the 50-DMA, respectively near 94.50 and 94.70, guard the immediate recovery of the AUD/JPY pair.

However, the pair sellers remain hopeful unless they witness a clear upside break of the previous support line stretched from late March, close to 95.80 at the latest.

AUD/JPY: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price94.36
Today Daily Change-0.17
Today Daily Change %-0.18%
Today daily open94.53
 
Trends
Daily SMA2093.82
Daily SMA5094.7
Daily SMA10093.18
Daily SMA20091.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High94.6
Previous Daily Low94.05
Previous Weekly High94.18
Previous Weekly Low92.83
Previous Monthly High96.84
Previous Monthly Low91.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%94.39
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%94.26
Daily Pivot Point S194.18
Daily Pivot Point S293.84
Daily Pivot Point S393.63
Daily Pivot Point R194.74
Daily Pivot Point R294.94
Daily Pivot Point R395.29

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with four-week highs past  1.3500

GBP/USD advances modestly at the beginning of the week, managing to surpass the key 1.3500 threshold. A modest rebound in the Greenback accompaniees Cable’s uptick amid persistent uncertainty lingering over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD treads water around 1.1550

EUR/USD trades in a narrow range around 1.1550 of Monday. The pair’s inconcluisve price action comes as investors continue to assess Friday’s disappointing US jobs data in a context where renewed tensions in the Middle East lend decent support to the US Dollar.

Gold corrects from tops, holds on above $4,300

Gold recedes marginally on Monday, although it keeps the trade well above the $4,300 mark per troy ounce for now. In the meantime, the precious metal is seen closely following the Fed’s interest-rate outlook as well as developments in the Middle East.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP eye short-term recovery amid ETF inflows
Cryptocurrency prices are gaining traction on Monday, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $65,000, Ethereum (ETH) holding the near-term $1,900 support and Ripple (XRP) hovering above the critical $1.00 demand zone. The broad recovery comes amid capital inflows through US-listed Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).
US Payrolls miss – RBA on deck tomorrow
It would be remiss of me not to kick off this morning’s report with a rundown of last Friday’s US jobs report, which was a belter. Headline payrolls fell by 23,000, versus expectations of an 80,000 gain. The BLS noted that May was revised down by 66,000 (from 129,000) and June by 37,000 (from 57,000), resulting in combined May-June revisions of 103,000 lower than previous reports.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.