Consumer Confidence


US retail sales are expected to continue rising in July

US Consumption trends

Consumer BehaviorImpactLastTrendLast 3Last 5Last 10
Retail Sales Control Group30.30%Up0.63%0.58%0.41%
Retail Sales MoM20.40%Up0.50%0.44%0.29%
Retail Sales ex Autos MoM20.00%Neutral0.43%0.44%0.26%
Personal Spending20.10%Neutral0.30%0.40%0.27%
Core PCE QoQ21.90%Neutral1.63%1.72%1.70%
PCE QoQ22.40%Down1.47%1.60%1.74%
Consumer Credit Change1$17.90BUp$18.24B$18.00B$17.19B
Redbook Index YoY15.50%Neutral5.50%5.66%5.49%
Redbook Index MoM1-1.10%Neutral-1.10%-0.92%-0.96%
Total Vehicle Sales117.20MNeutral17.00M17.12M17.03M
Consumer ConfidenceImpactLastTrendLast 3Last 5Last 10
UMich Consumer Sentiment Index396.00Neutral93.0096.7295.62
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism152.60Down52.8353.6653.94
Housing-related ConsumptionImpactLastTrendLast 3Last 5Last 10
Existing Home Sales MoM25.49MUp5.40M5.35M5.27M
Existing Home Sales Change MoM11.30%Neutral0.83%1.08%0.84%
New Home Sales MoM20.713M
Up0.702M0.681M0.668M
New Home Sales Change MoM17.10%Up6.47%1.50%4.26%
Housing Starts MoM21.364MUp1.273M1.273M1.220M
Housing Starts Change112.30%Up3.00%3.08%0.32%
NAHB Housing Market Index168.00Up66.6766.0063.10
MBA Mortgage Applications15.40%Neutral1.13%1.06%2.21%
Inflation-related ConsumptionImpactLastTrendLast 3Last 5Last 10
Core PCE - Price Index YoY21.80%Neutral1.70%1.64%1.71%
Core PCE - Price Index MoM20.10%Neutral0.17%0.18%0.16%
PCE - Price Index YoY11.40%Down1.43%1.46%1.55%
PCE - Price Index MoM10.00%Neutral0.10%0.14%0.10%
Personal Income MoM20.40%Neutral0.33%0.38%0.34%