Learning to properly time your trades is a key step in becoming a profitable trader. Get in too soon and you risk taking unnecessary losses on a trade that you could you could have avoided with a little patience. However get in too late, and you risk suffering from poor positioning, meaning you may have missed a lot of the move and indeed end up needing to use wider stops than necessary, had you been properly positioned.

One of the best tools for use in timing your entries to trades is the stochastic Oscillator.

Stochastics is a momentum indicator comparing closing prices to the price range over a specified period. As with all momentum indicators, there are a number of ways this tool can be used but we’re going to focus on one very simple method here that can instantly be applied to improve your trading.

 

Stochastics

 

On the chart above we can see the Stochastics indicator in the bottom panel of the price chart and the basic premise of this method is that when the Green line which is the D Line ( a % moving average of the K Line shown in yellow) is touching the green horizontal line at 80 -price is overbought and we are looking for a selling opportunity. When the green line touches the purple horizontal line at 20, price is oversold and we are looking for buying opportunities.

 

Stochastics

 

You can see that these high and low points on the Stochastics indicator sync up rather nicely with peaks and troughs in price – for the majority of the time. There are some occasions when we don’t see the anticipated reaction. We can also note that price doesn’t simply reverse as soon as the indicator flags oversold or overbought, but the reversals do occur shortly after if not immediately.

So how then do we best use this information to trade?

If we think of the stochastic tool as giving us the area we are looking at for reversals we then need a tool to provide a “trigger” for taking a trade and a fantastic tool for this is Order Flow Trader.

 

Stochastics

 

Looking at the chart above we can see that where we get those overbought/oversold readings on the stochastics indicator we get some great confluent OFT signals allowing us to trade the anticipated reversal with an exact entry point which which we can also base our stop placement.

We can manage our risk using some of the key tips for OFT signals such as placing stops behind the previous swing low (for buy signals) and previous swing high (for sell signals) and waiting for price to break the high of the signal bar (for buy signals) and the low of the signal bar (for sell signals) which also helps to filter out some of the losing trades that can occur where price continues even while the Stochastics are overbought/oversold.

Looking to combine Order Flow Trader with Stochastics indicator is a fantastic way to identify great trading opportunities and is definitely worth trying. One of the really great things about this method is that waiting for the stochastic to move into overbought/oversold territory before taking OFT signals really helps to avoid most of the choppy & weaker signals that we can see in tight range-bound conditions as the stochastic doesn’t move to those extreme levels.

 

Stochastics

In the chart above we can see that whilst price was caught in a very choppy range where we saw lots of OFT signals, the Stochastics indicator didn’t actually register overbought/oversold at any point so we were able to avoid these signals.


This market forecast is for general information only. It is not an investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities.

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Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss of some or all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

USD/JPY drops back below 157.00, as focus shifts to Japan snap election

USD/JPY drops back below 157.00, as focus shifts to Japan snap election

USD/JPY is back in the red below 157.00 in the Asian session on Friday. The Japanese Yen recovers ground against the US Dollar amid some profit-taking ahead of Japan's snap general election on Sunday. The preliminary reading of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index report for February will be released later on Friday. 


Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates Premium

The EUR/USD pair lost additional ground in the first week of February, settling at around 1.1820. The reversal lost momentum after the pair peaked at 1.2082 in January, its highest since mid-2021.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space Premium

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold (XAU/USD) remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000.

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling tests key support ahead of a big week

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling tests key support ahead of a big week Premium

The Pound Sterling (GBP) changed course against the US Dollar (USD), with GBP/USD giving up nearly 200 pips in a dramatic correction.

Bitcoin: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election Premium

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

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