Forex

Hello traders! In this week’s newsletter, I’d like to describe what a typical classroom consists of, and why you might fit into one of our forex classes. In addition, I’d like to address a couple of bad habits that keep people from making the type of profits they want in the marketplace.

In every Online Trading Academy class that I teach, we have an interesting cross-section of people who attend. Nearly every profession has walked through our doors-bartenders, soldiers, pilots, real estate agents, even professional athletes. Very often we will have brand new traders walk into class, who have absolutely no idea what they are in for. Sitting next to them will be someone who has traded for years, but just can’t seem to put the puzzle pieces together to make themselves a profitable trader. Sitting next to them might be one of our veteran student traders, who may be expanding their repertoire into a new asset class, or just wanting to connect with some traders face to face.

Believe it or not, this diverse mix is great in our classroom environment! Because we foster a team environment, if someone is brand new to trading and isn’t sure even how to enter a trade, the experienced trader next to them will often help with how to use the new trading software. The brand new student/trader actually has an advantage over the experienced trader, in my opinion. The experienced trader but new student in our classes must be unhappy with their performance in the market which is why they came to us! Have you ever heard the old phrase about unlearning old, bad habits? Very often an experienced trader will be relying on some combination of support and resistance, indicators/oscillators, and whatever things they have attempted to use in the past. Even though those techniques aren’t making them the money that they want, many still cling to them as a security blanket. This new world of nearly naked charts with only supply and demand can be very uncomfortable to use at first. “It should not be that easy!” is a common comment in class. After watching the instructor take trades in front of them in the live market, most are quickly reassured that our supply and demand zones can be very profitable!

Forex

So what are some of the bad habits that people bring to class? One of the worst/funniest/saddest examples is someone who refuses to take a small loss. As traders, small losses are how we stay in business long term; large losses will kill your performance, if not blow up your account! I had a student a few months ago (May, if I remember correctly) who proudly stated on day one of class that he hadn’t taken a loss yet that year. Myself and the other students were impressed. So I asked how this was possible, did he only take a couple of trades so far this year? Sadly, the answer was no. Of the numerous trades he had taken, when he had a small winner, some “green on the screen,” he would quickly take his profits. “No one ever went broke taking profits!” And no one ever traded for long taking small winners like he did. So what happened when a trade went against him? As you may have guessed, he chose to hang on to the trades until they came back to break even. Which means he had an account full of large losing trades, eating up all of his buying power, and he was unable to take any more trades because he was holding on to a bunch of losers. A bit funny and sad, if you ask me. “But they are good companies!” he said. Good companies don’t always have stocks that go up. And bad companies don’t always have stocks that go down. (I know this is a forex newsletter, but since I teach our equities and futures classes as well, I thought I would throw in this memorable story.)

Another serious mistake traders can make is “averaging down” on a losing trade. Sadly, this is a commonly espoused investing/trading technique. If you buy 100 shares at $60, if it goes to $40, you buy 100 more to bring your average cost down to $50. That way it only has to go to $50 to break even! Hurray! What happens if the stock goes to $30? And then $20? How many of these trades in a year does it take to severely hurt your annual performance? Only one or two, more than likely. The professional traders I know cut their losing trades quickly, and only add to a position when it is going their direction.

The last mistake I’ll address this week is the matter of over-leveraging. Often a new trader will trade too big a position size for their account. Usually we recommend someone risk up to 2% of their account on a trade, with the expectation to make 6%. Many new traders will end up risking 5-25% of their account! Doesn’t take too many losing trades in a row to wipe out their trading career! Most professional traders look at the risk of a trade first, while new traders will look at the reward. Obviously we believe that is backwards.

Hope to see you in my next diverse class of students, and in the meantime, don’t make these terrible mistakes into habits!

Learn to Trade Now


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Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

USD/JPY drops back below 157.00, as focus shifts to Japan snap election

USD/JPY drops back below 157.00, as focus shifts to Japan snap election

USD/JPY is back in the red below 157.00 in the Asian session on Friday. The Japanese Yen recovers ground against the US Dollar amid some profit-taking ahead of Japan's snap general election on Sunday. The preliminary reading of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index report for February will be released later on Friday. 


Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates Premium

The EUR/USD pair lost additional ground in the first week of February, settling at around 1.1820. The reversal lost momentum after the pair peaked at 1.2082 in January, its highest since mid-2021.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space Premium

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold (XAU/USD) remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000.

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling tests key support ahead of a big week

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling tests key support ahead of a big week Premium

The Pound Sterling (GBP) changed course against the US Dollar (USD), with GBP/USD giving up nearly 200 pips in a dramatic correction.

Bitcoin: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election Premium

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

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