Brian Twomey
Brian's Investment
The definition of a cross pair is the creation by two separate currency pairs with USD and Non-USD employed as the basis to calculate. The term is triangulation and done through the various legs. What is created is a cross pair. A cross pair triangulation and creation of a currency pair is the opposite to a synthetic currency.
A synthetic currency is created by pairing a convertible currency to a blocked currency. A blocked currency lacks ability to freely trade and trades on the black market. Argentina ARS and other South and Central American nations are prime examples. The last manner to create a synthetic currency is to match a currency pair to a Non-Deliverable Forward. Many nations Forwards are non-Deliverable. Prime examples include Brazil, South Africa, South Korea, Israel. The key is to match the spot equivalent currency to the NDF to lock in a price on X date and to guard against volatility.
A few examples to triangulate cross pairs include JPY. EUR/JPY is created by EUR/USD X USD/JPY. GBP/JPY is created by GBP/USD X USD/JPY. NZD/JPY is created by NZD/USD X USD/JPY.
CHF/JPY is created by USD/JPY Divided by USD/CHF. CAD/JPY is created by USD/JPY divided by USD/CAD.
GBP/NZD is created by GBP/USD divided by NZD/USD. GBP/CAD is created by GBP/USD X USD/CAD. AUD/EUR is created by dividing AUD/USD by EUR/USD. EUR/GBP is created by EUR/USD divide by GBP/USD. AUD/NZD is created by AUD/USD divided by NZD/USD.
A pair like MXN/RUB triangulates as USD/RUB divide USD/MXN but sometimes must factor USD/MXN, EUR/RUB and EUR/USD. Depends on the time of day, liquidity and spreads. When those markets are open and traded, spreads are low but widen significantly upon market closes. Both RUB and MXN are oil producer currencies however RUB tracks Brent while MXN follows WTI. Both respond to Brent/ WTI spreads. OPEC influences more Brent than WTI. Overall 70% MXN exports travel to the United States therefore MXN is most sensitive to DXY.
Cross pairs move more than underlying USD and Non but are never as liquid. Liquidity depends on USD V Non-USD for cross pair movement because those pairs are most liquid.
One factor influences RUB is the CBR cut its USD reserves below Euro for the first time since 2008. USD reserves since Jan 1 was 39.6% from 44.8% in 2015. Euro current is 46.1% V 41.5%.
The general rule for cross pair triangulation is if USD is the base for both currency pairs then divide to obtain the cross pair price. If USD is located in the quote position then divide, otherwise multiply. Basic formula is A/B X B/C = CB. Cross rates equal the ratio of the two corresponding pairs.
Trading currencies and other financial instruments carries a degree of loss and possible loss of entire investments. Please managed your own risks, stop loss, and margins requirements.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630
EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.
GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320
GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.
Japanese Yen refreshes three-week high vs USD; seems poised to appreciate further
The Japanese Yen retains bullish bias as BoJ rate hike bets offset dismal Household Spending data. Dovish Fed expectations fail to assist the USD in attracting buyers and keep a lid on the USD/JPY pair. Traders keenly await the US PCE Price Index for Fed rate-cut cues and a fresh directional impetus.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630
EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.
GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320
GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.
Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200
Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut
Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.
Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides
Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.
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