|

Here’s why AVAX price crash could be a blessing in disguise

  • AVAX price is consolidating in a range, extending from $31 to $39. 
  • After a failed breakout, Avalanche price has crashed by 13%. 
  • Investors can expect an 11% crash and a potential deviation of the range low at $31.
  • A flip of the $31 support level will invalidate the bullish thesis.

Avalanche (AVAX) price action shows no signs of a directional bias as it moves sideways. The optimism generated due to the breakout attempt on May 20 has died down as AVAX continues its descent. But patient buyers might be rewarded soon.

Also read: Avalanche set to gain wider reach with its Stripe integration

Avalanche price needs to set the stage

Avalanche price crashed 56% between March 18 and April 13 and has been in a sideways movement since then. This six-week consolidation almost ended as AVAX shot up 11.53% on May 20, triggering a breakout and setting up a local top of $41. But as time passed, this move was undone by bears, evolving this breakout into a failed attempt, leading ot a 13% crash.

Now, AVAX trades inside the aforementioned range. Long-term investors are likely to wait before buying the dips. A sweep of the range low of $31 will be a key pivotal point that could trigger a lot of buy-the-dip orders. 

The resulting bounce could see Avalanche price to retest the range high of $39 as its first move. Beyond this, AVAX could also attempt to retest the $47 hurdle, which is the next key resistance level. This move would constitute a 47% run-up and is likely where AVAX could form a local top.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Awesome Oscillator (AO) are both below their respective mean levels of 50 and 0, showing bearish momentum is in play. Whales tend to buy the dips here and complete their accumulation,

AVAX/USDT 1-day chart

AVAX/USDT 1-day chart

Regardless of the short-term bearish outlook, the mid-to-long-term scenario remains bullish for Avalanche price. However, if AVAX produces a daily candlestick close below $31, leading to a flip of the support barrier into a resistance level, it will invalidate the uptrend. Such a development could see Avalanche price revisit the April 13 swing low of $28, roughly 10% from $31.

Read more: Avalanche price might need to drop 5% to 10% before AVAX bulls eye retest of $80

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Bitcoin hits $85,000 as rally gains momentum, but liquidity risks linger

Bitcoin claims the $85,000 level on Monday after gaining 5.64% and closing above the 50-week SMA at $78,200 the previous week. US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded mild $6.21 million inflows last week, showing resilience despite the CLARITY Act setback and hawkish Fed outlook.

Ripple extends rally toward $1.50 as derivatives activity rises despite ETF outflows

Ripple (XRP) holds a strong bullish picture, rising to trade near $1.50 on Monday. The remittance token marks four consecutive days of gains, supported by robust momentum indicators and increased risk appetite in the broader cryptocurrency market.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP hold bullish outlook amid improving ETF inflows

Cryptocurrencies are broadly rising on Monday, led by Bitcoin’s (BTC) surge to $85,000. Altcoins are following BTC’s bullish trend, with Ethereum (ETH) trading above $2,700 and Ripple (XRP) holding steady at $1.47.

Pi Network rebound gains steam on broader market recovery

Pi Network is up 4% on Monday, advancing its near-term recovery after a 2% rebound the previous day. The broader cryptocurrency market's recovery, with Bitcoin hitting an eight-month high of $85,000, is boosting investors’ risk appetite for high-risk crypto assets like the PI token.

Bitcoin: BTC shrugs off CLARITY Act setback and hawkish Fed
Bitcoin (BTC) price action has remained resilient this week, trading above $78,000 at the time of writing on Friday, heading toward a key resistance zone. Institutional demand shows early signs of weakness, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on track for a second straight week of outflows, with over $420 million recorded through Thursday amid escalating Middle East tensions.