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Coinbase outlook 'Negative,' credit ratings agency S&P Global says

The agency dropped the crypto exchange giant's rating to BB from BB+, citing "weak earnings" and increasing competition.

In an already difficult week, Coinbase suffered another knock as the credit ratings agency S&P Global said in a note Thursday that the outlook for the crypto exchange giant was "negative."

S&P Global ratcheted down Coinbase's long-term issuer credit rating and senior unsecured debt ratings to BB from BB+, citing "weak earnings and competitive pressure."

"Competitive risk has intensified in the crypto exchange sector, with the company's market share decreasing this year," S&P Global wrote. "We believe that as a result of market share erosion and a higher risk of margin compression, cyclical variations (peak-to-trough changes in revenue, EBITDA, and EBITDA margin) for Coinbase have exceeded our previous expectations, leading us to revise our assessment of financial risk."

The credit agency said its assessment also reflected "uncertainties about the length of the current crypto bear market and "the potential for further market share deterioration."

Coinbase shares closed Thursday at $84 per share, down more than 10%. Its shares reached a high of over $350 last fall.

S&P's note comes two days after Coinbase reported a nearly 30% decline in trading volume from $309 million in the first three months of 2022 to $217 million in its second quarter, and missed consensus revenue expectations. The exchange posted a net loss of $1.1 billion during the quarter, versus a $430 million loss in the first quarter.

In its quarterly report, Coinbase disclosed that it is under investigation by U.S. securities regulators over its token listing processes as well as its staking programs and yield-generating products.

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CoinDesk Analysis Team

CoinDesk is the media platform for the next generation of investors exploring how cryptocurrencies and digital assets are contributing to the evolution of the global financial system.

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