|

BTC/USD: Bitcoin rally will end in a sharp correction after the halving – Opinon

  • Pre-halving rally will be short-lived, experts believe.
  • BTC/USD may drop to $6,000 before the growth is resumed.

     
While Bitcoin takes one major resistance after another, Michael van de Poppe, a full-time day/swing trader in cryptocurrencies based at the Amsterdam Stock Exchange, believes that it is not the time for the bulls to rest on their laurels. Recently he published a new forecast that implies a sharp Bitcoin correction after this cryptocurrency's halving. He says that the market will play out a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' scenario, which will lead to Bitcoin's sell-off.

This is my main scenario for $BTC, still. Halving; 'buy the rumor, sell the news' event with a selloff to occur. After that correction, the bull market can start.

He identified $5,900 as the correction target that will stop the sell-off and trigger another bullish wave.

Meanwhile, Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst at Oanda, also warns that the current bullish momentum is a result of speculators'activity, while the halving may come as a disappointment as it is already priced in. 

The Bitcoin halving in under two weeks may explain some of the bullish activity by speculators. But you have to think that an event that has been in the diary for so long will already be priced in. This could see some of these moves faded as we hit halving day.

This view is mostly shared by Christel Quek, Chief Commercial Officer and Co-Founder at Bolt Global. Speaking in a recent interview with Bloomberg, he explained that BTC price may drop after the halving as investors might consider taking a profit.

This is an unprecedented time as liquidity remains a priority for investors fleeing equity markets. Therefore, while Bitcoin should rise into $10,000s after the halving, it could be followed with a price drop as investors engage in profit-taking. No level of technical support can stand when the economy is drained.

At the time of writing, BTC/USD is changing hands at $8,850, with over 10% of day-to-day gains. The first digital coin has increased by 42% in the recent month and gained over 75% in 12 months.
 

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.