|

Bitcoin's price to follow the hash rate increase if the history is any guide

  • Bitcoin's price may follow the lead of the hash rate.
  • BTC/USD needs to regain ground above SMA200 daily.

Bitcoin hit the highest level of 2020 at $9,184 on Sunday and retreated to $8,638 by the time of writing. The first digital asset has lost 4.6% of its value in recent 24 hours and stayed unchanged since the beginning of the day as the market calmed down after the weekend volatility.

Bitcoin's hash rate reached an all-time high. Again.

At the end of the previous week, Bitcoin's hash rate reached 126 exahash per second (EH/s), which is the highest level on record. It means that Bitcoin miners need to put more computing power at any given time to "discover" answers to the cryptographic puzzles. The figure of 126 exahash per second means that miners need to go through 126,000,000,000,000,000,000 guesses (hashes) per second before they find an answer.

A rising hash rate is considered a good signal as more miners join the network and make it more secure and hack-resistant. Thus, it is indicative of growing miners' interest. According to Max Keiser, that calls himself a tweet poet, there is a direct correlation between the price and the hash rate:

Price follows hash rate and hash rate chart continues its 9 yr bull market.

Thus, the recovery in 2019 after the price hit bottom in December 2018 was predicted by the changes in the hash rate. However, it may take some time before the price catches up with the hash rate.

BTC/USD: technical picture

Bitcoin's recovery is still effectively capped by SMA200 daily at $9,027. The price will need a sustainable move above this pivotal resistance for the upside to gain traction and take it to the recent high of $9,184. The next strong barrier is created by the upper line of the daily Bollinger Band at $9,300 and 38.2% Fibo retracement of the upside move from December 2018 low to July 2019 high. This area is likely to slow down the recovery and trigger a short-term correction.

On the downside, BTC will need to stay above $8,500 to retain the bullish bias. If this support area is sustainably broken, the sell-off pressure will intensify with the next bearish aim at a psychological $8,000 reinforced by the broken upper boundary of the wedge formation.

BTC/USD daily chart

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.

Bitcoin could risk $50,000 amid the US-Iran war, mirroring the Russia-Ukraine war losses

Bitcoin (BTC) remains at downside risk amid escalation in the Middle East war, as Iran retaliates against the US, Israel, and its neighbouring countries. Drawing parallels to the early days of the Russia-Ukraine war, Bitcoin could extend losses below $60,000. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pull back as sentiment remains in extreme market fear

The cryptocurrency market is broadly in the red on Tuesday as the Middle East grapples with an escalating war. Bitcoin (BTC) is in a pullback, trading below $67,000 at the time of writing, and most altcoins follow suit.

Bitcoin slips below $67,000 as risk-aversion grows amid escalating US-Iran war

Bitcoin price slides 3% on Tuesday, nearly erasing the previous day's rebound. US-listed spot ETFs recorded an inflow of more than $450 million while Strategy added 3,015 BTC on Monday.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: Another month of losses, and it’s been five

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday, but the Crypto King is poised to close February on a fragile footing, marking its fifth consecutive month of losses since October and a rare start to the year with back-to-back monthly corrections.