|

Bitcoin price likely to revisit $36,000 as BTC bulls approach local top

  • Bitcoin price faces multiple resistance barriers as it approaches the $45,000 local top.
  • A retest of the $42,867 to $43,755 bearish breaker is likely to result in a downtrend to $38,889 and lower.
  • A daily candlestick close above $52,000 will invalidate any bearish thesis in existence.

Bitcoin price is approaching its upside limit after nearly a week-long slow strut-up. Due to the presence of multiple hurdles, a reversal is likely to stable support levels for BTC.

Bitcoin price at an inflection point

Bitcoin price rallied roughly 13% after setting up Monday’s low at $37,524 on March 13. This move albeit slow is aimed at retesting the bearish breaker, extending from $42,867 to $43,755. This setup contains a Market Structure Break (MSB) aka a higher between February 28 and March 2 followed by a flip of the demand zone formed between the swing highs.

On March 3, BTC breached the said demand zone, extending from $42,867 to $43,755 and flipped it into a bearish breaker. This technical formation forecasts that a throwback that leads to the retest of the breaker will face intense rejection. Moreover, the presence of the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $42,380 makes it tough for bulls to push BTC higher. So, there is a chance the big crypto could face premature rejection due to the 100-day SMA and trigger a down move.

Regardless, investors can expect Bitcoin price to retrace to Monday’s low at $37,524. In some cases, BTC could slide lower to fill a tiny Fair Value Gap (FVG) extending from $36,170 to $36,966. In total, this down move would constitute a 15% loss and is likely where Bitcoin price will form a local bottom before establishing directional bias.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

On the other hand, Bitcoin price might plow through the breaker and retest the weekly supply zone, extending from $45,551 to $51,966. Such a move will invalidate the bearish thesis. However, this uptick does not kick–start a bullish move. For this to occur, Bitcoin price needs to produce a daily, preferably, weekly candlestick close above $52,000.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Stellar Price Forecast: XLM slips below $0.22 as bearish momentum builds

Stellar (XLM) price is trading below $0.22 at the time of writing on Wednesday after failing to close above the key resistance earlier this week. Bearish momentum continues to strengthen, with open interest falling and short bets rising.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI struggles to rebound amid muted demand

Pi Network (PI) edges higher by almost 1% at press time on Wednesday, bouncing off the $0.2000 level after a four-day decline. The recovery lacks momentum as the social interest surrounding Pi Network declines. Technically, PI is at a crossroads, struggling for a rebound as momentum is lacking.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risks as breakout attempts falter

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple continue to trade in red on Wednesday as recent breakout attempts lose momentum near key resistance levels. BTC failed to reclaim the $90,000, ETH slipped below $3,000, while XRP faced rejection near $1.96.

Top Crypto Losers: NIGHT, PUMP, TAO – Altcoins plunge just before the holidays

Midnight (NIGHT), Pump.fun (PUMP) and Bittensor (TAO) are leading losses over the last 24 hours as the broader cryptocurrency market declines. The altcoins under pressure risk further losses as the selling pressure rises just before the holidays.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.