|

Bitcoin price likely to revisit $36,000 as BTC bulls approach local top

  • Bitcoin price faces multiple resistance barriers as it approaches the $45,000 local top.
  • A retest of the $42,867 to $43,755 bearish breaker is likely to result in a downtrend to $38,889 and lower.
  • A daily candlestick close above $52,000 will invalidate any bearish thesis in existence.

Bitcoin price is approaching its upside limit after nearly a week-long slow strut-up. Due to the presence of multiple hurdles, a reversal is likely to stable support levels for BTC.

Bitcoin price at an inflection point

Bitcoin price rallied roughly 13% after setting up Monday’s low at $37,524 on March 13. This move albeit slow is aimed at retesting the bearish breaker, extending from $42,867 to $43,755. This setup contains a Market Structure Break (MSB) aka a higher between February 28 and March 2 followed by a flip of the demand zone formed between the swing highs.

On March 3, BTC breached the said demand zone, extending from $42,867 to $43,755 and flipped it into a bearish breaker. This technical formation forecasts that a throwback that leads to the retest of the breaker will face intense rejection. Moreover, the presence of the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $42,380 makes it tough for bulls to push BTC higher. So, there is a chance the big crypto could face premature rejection due to the 100-day SMA and trigger a down move.

Regardless, investors can expect Bitcoin price to retrace to Monday’s low at $37,524. In some cases, BTC could slide lower to fill a tiny Fair Value Gap (FVG) extending from $36,170 to $36,966. In total, this down move would constitute a 15% loss and is likely where Bitcoin price will form a local bottom before establishing directional bias.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

On the other hand, Bitcoin price might plow through the breaker and retest the weekly supply zone, extending from $45,551 to $51,966. Such a move will invalidate the bearish thesis. However, this uptick does not kick–start a bullish move. For this to occur, Bitcoin price needs to produce a daily, preferably, weekly candlestick close above $52,000.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.