Weekly trade idea on EUR/USD & NFP

Saul Lokier The5ers Fund

Week: 1-5.03.2021

Key event: USD. Non-Farm Payroll

The number of new jobs created during the previous month, in all non-agricultural business. The monthly changes in payrolls can be extremely volatile, due to its high relation with economic policy decisions made by the Central Bank.

We expect a higher reading than the previous month.

Until Friday, we can expect a light strengthening of the USD against other currencies. It would require a very positive or negative surprising release for the USD to break actual ranging levels.

Key Levels:

Resistance 1.2300, 1.2400
Support 1.1950, 1.1900

Trend EUR/USD:

Neutral

Price is ranging between 1.2300 and 1.1950. Last week, the price closed with false up movement and a strong bearish movement, heading support levels.

Call to Action/Trade Idea

We will look to buy near supports and to sell near resistance after a price action confirmation.

Author

Saul Lokier

The5ers Fund

Saul is a professional Forex Trader for over 8 years. Characterized by a simple approach to trading, he manages funds for International Forex Funds, as well as personal accounts. Saul is the former Head Trader at FXsmartrader Academy.

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.