U.S. Review

U.S. Manufacturers Facing Headwinds

  • U.S. manufacturers were already struggling with a stronger U.S. dollar when the currency appreciated further against the euro and Canadian dollar as central bankers in those regions made unexpected moves. The negative effects of oil are also starting to show up in regional manufacturing surveys.
  • Housing starts improved in December with upward revisions to the prior month. Unfortunately, permits look a bit weaker, suggesting starts could see some payback in the coming months. Homebuilder sentiment did not add much optimism to the housing market recovery.

Global Review

Slow Growth in China and Central Banks Step Up Easing

  • At the start of this week, the IMF downgraded its forecast for global growth citing among other things "a reassessment of prospects in China" and it cautioned advanced economies that "monetary policy must stay accommodative."
  • The year-over-year rate of Chinese GDP growth released this week was a shade stronger than the consensus expected, but the sequential growth rate shows that growth is slowing.
  • The European Central Bank embarked on an ambitious quantitative easing program and the Bank of Canada surprised financial markets with an unexpected rate cut.

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EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

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Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

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