|

USDJPY Analysis: Attempts to reclaim 113.00

"The BOJ is closer to the limits of their unconventional monetary policy than any other central bank. Capital flows will be so intense, if the BOJ insisted on keeping the nominal rate anchored, the impact on dollar-yen would lead to other distortions and policy reactions from other countries."

– Eurizon SLJ Capital Ltd. (based on Bloomberg)

  • Pair's Outlook
    Lack of certainty concerning the US tax reforms triggered USD-selling, causing it to drop 69 pips against the Japanese Yen yesterday. Thursday's bearish development still does not change the overall picture, as the pair remains in its consolidation trend. The demand cluster just under the 112.00 mark represents the lower boundary, whereas the resistance area just under 115.00 is the upper border. According to the recent developments, a positive outcome today is the most probable scenario, with trade closing circa 113.10. However, we should not rule out the possibility of another leg down, as technical indicators keep giving mixed signals in the daily timeframe.

  • Traders' Sentiment
    There are 54% of traders being long the Buck today (previously 53%). At the same time, the share of purchase orders inched up from 65 to 67%.

USDJPY

Interested in USD/JPY technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 114.61
    2. R2 114.20
    3. R1 113.91
  1. PP 113.50
    1. S1 113.20
    2. S2 112.79
    3. S3 112.50

Author

Dukascopy Bank Team

Dukascopy Bank Team

Dukascopy Bank SA

Dukascopy Bank stands as an innovative Swiss online banking institution, with its headquarters situated in Geneva, Switzerland.

More from Dukascopy Bank Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.