Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as there was no bullish price action at 1.3150.

Today’s USD/CAD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades must be taken before 5pm New York time Thursday.

Long Trade

  • Long entry after the next bullish price action rejection following the next touch of 1.3159.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trades

  • Short entry after the next bearish price action rejection following the next touch of 1.3204, 1.3242 or 1.3262.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

USD/CAD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that we had no trend and the bearish channel had been invalidated. Between seeing 1.3150 as potential support and 1.3242 as good resistance, I thought it was probably wise to step aside from this pair over the next few hours. This was a good call as the price has bounced around without respecting any key levels it met.

Yesterday’s Canadian inflation data came in slightly lower than expected, but this had little effect upon the price. Technically you can say there is still something of a bearish trend with the price held down by a bearish trend line, but it is no longer a channel and there is a double bottom at about 1.3120. The resistance at 1.3204 is looking attractive as we have there a confluence of a flipped horizontal level, the surviving bearish trend line, and the round number at 1.3200 – I would take a bearish bias if we get a bearish rejection there later.

usdcad

There is nothing of high importance due today concerning the CAD. Regarding the USD, there will be a release of Advance GDP data at 1:30pm London time.

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