The Australian dollar has fallen sharply over the last month which has culminated in a new six year low below 0.7300 to close out last week. It is presently trading just above 0.73 after enjoying some support from around 0.7260. For the best part of the last few weeks the AUD/USD has traded in a narrow range between 0.74 and 0.75 with the former providing reasonable support and the latter providing stiff resistance during this time. It had been relying upon support at 0.74 and testing this level however this has now been broken and the AUD/USD has been consolidating around the 0.74 level for the last week or so. Several weeks ago the Australia dollar was starting to feel some selling pressure from the 0.77 level and it had its eyes firmly focused on the long term support level at 0.76.
In the first half of June the Australian dollar surged higher from below 0.77 up to a three week high, however it ran straight into resistance at the key 0.7850 level, which has performed this role several times this year. Throughout this time it also spent most of its time trading quite steady around the 0.7750 level whilst receiving solid support from 0.77. Over the last couple of months the resistance level at 0.7850 has played a major role and continues to place selling pressure down on the AUD/USD. Throughout this same period it has been enjoying rock solid support from the long term support level at 0.76 which has allowed it to rebound strongly back up to above 0.78 on more than one occasion.
Throughout the second half of May the Australian dollar fall sharply from a four month high above 0.8150 down to the key support level at 0.76. This level has been a significant level for a couple of months and has propped the Australian dollar up on multiple occasions. This recent price action has been a significant reversal as it wasn’t so long ago, the AUD/USD was in a solid medium term up trend having broken through the key 0.7850 level and achieved the four month high above 0.8150. For most of this year the Australian dollar has traded within a wide trading range between the support at 0.76 and resistance around 0.7850. Earlier this year in February that range was tighter with the support level higher at 0.77. Throughout this period it experienced reasonable swings back and forth between the two key levels with very few excursions beyond the levels.
(Daily chart / 4 hourly chart below)
AUD/USD July 28 at 23:45 GMT 0.7343 H: 0.7344 L: 0.7257
AUD/USD Technical
During the early hours of the Asian trading session on Wednesday, the Australian dollar is trying to keep in touch with the 0.73 and 0.74 levels after spending most of last week consolidating and trading around 0.74. Current range: trading right around 0.7350.
Further levels in both directions:
- Below: 0.7250
- Above: 0.7500, 0.7850 and 0.8150.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD drops toward 0.6500 after dismal Aussie Retail Sales, mixed China's PMIs
AUD/USD is extending losses toward 0.6500, hit by an unexpected drop in the Australian Retail Sales for March while China's NBS April PMI data came in mixed. Upbeat China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI data failed to lift the Aussie Dollar amid a softer risk tone and the US Dollar rebound.
USD/JPY holds rebound to 157.00 after Monday's suspected intervention-led crash
USD/JPY is trading close to 157.00, staging a solid rebound in the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair reverses a part of heavy losses incurred on Monday after the Japanese Yen rallied hard on probable FX market intervention by Japan's authorities. Poor Japan's jobs and Retail Sales data weigh on the Yen.
Gold price traders remain on the sidelines ahead of FOMC decision on Wednesday
Gold price remains confined in a narrow range as traders prefer to wait on the sidelines. Reduced Fed rate cut bets revive the USD demand and act as a headwind for the metal. Investors now await the FOMC decision and US macro data before placing directional bets.
BNB price risks a 10% drop as Binance founder and ex-CEO Changpeng Zhao eyes Tuesday sentencing
Binance Coin price is dumping, with the one-day chart showing a defined downtrend. While the broader market continues to bleed, things could get worse for BNB price ahead of Binance executive Changpeng Zhao sentencing on Tuesday, April 30.
FX market still on intervention watch
Asian foreign exchange traders will be particularly attentive to any signs of Japanese intervention on Tuesday, following reports of Tokyo's involvement in the market on Monday. This intervention action propelled the yen upward from its 34-year low of 160 per dollar, setting off shockwaves of volatility.