Oil is in a bullish channel but a strong 50% Fibonacci level could stop the trend from moving higher. The resistance level is a key decision zone for a bearish bounce or bullish breakout.

oil

 

US OIL

Daily

A bearish bounce could confirm the current wave pattern outlook, which is a wve 4 (pink) retracement within the downtrend. A bearish breakout below the support (blue) of the channel could send oil back lower (orange arrow). A bullish break above the 50% Fib however could indicate that a different wave pattern is more likely.

oil

4 hour

Oil is showing bullish momentum, but if the current wave outlook is correct, then this could be the final push higher as part of a wave 5 (blue) of wave C (purple) of wave 4 (pink). A break below the channel could indicate a change of price direction and take price back to the bottom of the larger channel.

oil

The analysis has been done with the CAMMACD.MTF template.

For more daily technical and wave analysis and updates, sign-up up to our ecs.LIVE channel.

Elite CurrenSea Training Program(s) should not be treated as a recommendation or a suggestion to buy or sell any security or the suitability of any investment strategy for Student. The purchase, sale, or advice regarding any security, other financial instrument or system can only be performed by a licensed Industry representative; such as, but not limited to a Broker/Dealer, Introducing Broker, FCM and/or Registered Investment Advisor. Neither Elite CurrenSea nor its representatives are licensed to make such advisements. Electronic active trading (trading) may put your capital at risk, hence all trading decisions are made at your own risk. Furthermore, trading may also involve a high volume & frequency of trading activity. Each trade generates a commission and the total daily commission on such a high volume of trading can be considerable. Trading accounts should be considered speculative in nature with the objective being to generate short-term profits. This activity may result in the loss of more than 100% of an investment, which is the sole responsibility of the client. Any trader should realise the operation of a margin account under various market conditions and review his or her investment objectives, financial resources and risk tolerances to determine whether margin trading is appropriate for them. The increased leverage which margin provides may heighten risk substantially, including the risk of loss in excess of 100% of an investment.

Analysis feed

Latest Forex Analysis

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stabilizes around 1.1050 amid stimulus speculation

EUR/USD has drifted back to around 1.1050 as markets digest European talk of fiscal stimulus and as the fallout from the Fed's hawkish cut on Wednesday. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD advances toward 1.25 after the BOE, Brexit impasse

GBP/USD is trading closer to 1.25, marginally higher. The BOE left its interest rates unchanged in a unanimous vote. The bank stated that it assumes a smooth Brexit. Uncertainty about the UK's exit prevails.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY keeps losses below 108.00 as BOJ disappoints the doves

USD/JPY keeps the losses below 108.00, as the Japanese Yen remains on the front foot in reaction to the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) status-quo that came in as a disappointment for the doves. 

USD/JPY News

Bitcoin looks for volatility and shakes the bullish trend

The ruthless crypto market purges the weakest hands of the market –  or perhaps the fastest – and positions are liquidated to take profits after good gains in the short term.

Read more

Gold inches higher above $1,500 as US T-bond yields continue to slide

The troy ounce of the precious metal didn't have a difficult time recovering yesterday's losses but continues to trade in its weekly range and doesn't give any signals of a breakout in the near-term. 

Gold News

Forex Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures