|

Oil Reaches Decision Zone at $59 & 50% Fibonacci

Oil is in a bullish channel but a strong 50% Fibonacci level could stop the trend from moving higher. The resistance level is a key decision zone for a bearish bounce or bullish breakout.

oil

US OIL

Daily

A bearish bounce could confirm the current wave pattern outlook, which is a wve 4 (pink) retracement within the downtrend. A bearish breakout below the support (blue) of the channel could send oil back lower (orange arrow). A bullish break above the 50% Fib however could indicate that a different wave pattern is more likely.

oil

4 hour

Oil is showing bullish momentum, but if the current wave outlook is correct, then this could be the final push higher as part of a wave 5 (blue) of wave C (purple) of wave 4 (pink). A break below the channel could indicate a change of price direction and take price back to the bottom of the larger channel.

oil

The analysis has been done with the CAMMACD.MTF template.

For more daily technical and wave analysis and updates, sign-up up to our ecs.LIVE channel.

Author

Chris Svorcik

Chris Svorcik

Elite CurrenSea

Experience Chris Svorcik has co-founded Elite CurrenSea in 2014 together with Nenad Kerkez, aka Tarantula FX. Chris is a technical analyst, wave analyst, trader, writer, educator, webinar speaker, and seminar speaker of the financial markets.

More from Chris Svorcik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.