USD has recovered to some extent after bad NFP result mostly by rising of US yields and general USD sentiment. Technically we can spot a huge bearish pennant on H4 chart with a clear range in between. Adding to that we can see that MACD is going sideways and histograms are very small which indicates that the pair is stuck in a range with no momentum.
POC inside a bearish pennant comes in 120.80-121.00 and if the price stays inside the pennant we might see another rejection towards 119.80 and eventually 118.60. Only H4 close below 118.60 or momentum breakout with stop grabbers will target for a retest of 118.15 and if the price breaks 118.15 it might proceed towards 116.12.
Have in mind that the pair is also bought on DIPS so x cross confluence around 119.00 might attract buyers. If the pair breaks and closes above 121.65 it will negate the pennant.
The analysis and the article presents Nenad's opinion. Remember, financial trading is highly speculative & may lead to the loss of your funds. Proper risk management is the Holy Grail of trading.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.