One currency pair that tends to follow stock market moves is the EUR/JPY. Just like equities today, the EUR/JPY had a hard time getting out of its own way as it fell to levels of support that could potentially be very helpful in mounting any kind of advance. News out of Greece today wasn’t great as the Troika evidently dismissed Greece’s ideas for reform as just that -- ideas. They stated that it wasn’t a concrete plan for reform, but we haven’t gotten to the point of a Grexit freak-out quite yet. The EUR weakened on the day, but it wasn’t particularly noteworthy, and may have some fight in it as we coast to the end of week.
Considering that this week ends with a holiday for a majority of the world, it wouldn’t be out of the question to see the EUR give more of a sideways feel instead of a general sell-off or strong rally. For that reason, finding levels of recent support or resistance may be most helpful as they could signal starting and ending points for rallies and drops. Conveniently, the EUR/JPY just found a level of support around a round number (129.00) that has also previously provided both support and resistance, and happens to coincide with a Fibonacci based Bullish Gartley pattern that is completing in the same region. While the overall trend is down in this pair, the clustering of support may give it enough of a boost to advance back toward the longer term falling trend line which may also coincide with previous price resistance.
Figure 1:
Source: www.forex.com
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