GBPJPY, 240 min
Recently GBP has been under pressure due to fears that the country might leave the European Union. I view this as a very low probability event but that doesn’t stop markets from being volatile. While Sterling has been under pressure the Japanese Yen has been either rising or moving sideways. This has brought the GBPJPY significantly lower and I don’t see an immediate reason for this psychological setting to change. We therefore look for opportunities to sell the rallies to join the trend as long as the trend lasts.
The pair is trending lower in weekly, daily and 4h time frames and is currently oversold as per Stochastics in weekly timeframes while there’s some attempt to move Stochastics higher in the daily chart. On February 22nd GBPJPY moved below an important support at 159.79 and therefore turned it into a resistance. This resistance also coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. We are interested in short trades GBPJPY between 159.50 and 160.54 if the price rallies there and give us a sell signal. Target 1 for this potential trade is at 154.70 – 155.65 while target 2 is at 148.55-149.30.
If you don’t know what to look for as a sell signal and how to set stops and plan your position sizes, you are welcome to join my Live Analysis Webinar on March 1st and 1pm GMT. Come along and bring your trading friends as well but please remember that seats are limited! This webinar is free, therefore it advisable to register asap.
Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.