|

EUR/USD flirts with 1.1665 again bound by short-term SMAs [Video]

EURUSD has hardly gained ground above the 15-month low of 1.1523, although the recent weak bullish effort could see further extension above the 1.1665 strong resistance level. The RSI indicator is trying to improve above the neutral threshold of 50 and the MACD oscillator is moving above its trigger and zero lines.

If the favorable scenario comes to fruition, the 1.1665 barrier may be the first to attract interest. This is also close to the 40-day simple moving average (SMA), which is at 1.1690, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 1.2348 to 1.1523 at 1.1715. A break of this level might send the price up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of 1.1835, while a break of the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.1910 could spark some further buying interest.

If the bulls lose the battle and the price falls below the 1.1523 trough, immediate support could form around the barrier of 1.1450, which was last active in June 2020. Below that point, traders may look for support for 1.1365.

In the long-term, only a sustained move above the critical resistance level of 1.1665 and more specifically, a daily close above the 200-day SMA would break the negative trend.

EURUSD

Author

Melina Deltas, CFTe

Melina joined XM in December 2017 as an Investment Analyst in the Research department. She can clearly communicate market action, particularly technical and chart pattern setups.

More from Melina Deltas, CFTe
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines below 1.1900; divergent Fed-ECB expectations offer support

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1835-1.1830 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1875 area, remaining nearly unchanged for the day and staying within striking distance of an over one-week high, reached on Tuesday, amid mixed cues.

GBP/USD slips heading into the Thursday trading window

The Pound Sterling pulled back from four-year highs on Wednesday, weighed down by a combination of Bank of England dovishness and UK political uncertainty, even as the US Dollar weakened on soft labor market revisions. 

Gold posts modest gains above $5,050 as US-Iran tensions persist despite strong labor data

Gold price trades in positive territory near $5,060 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher despite stronger-than-expected US employment data. The release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report will take center stage later on Friday. 

Bitcoin holds steady despite strong US labour market

Bitcoin briefly bounced from $66,000 to above $68,000 but slightly reversed those gains following Wednesday's US January jobs report. The top crypto is hovering around $67,000, down 2% over the past 24 hours as of writing on Wednesday.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.