Slobodan Drvenica
Windsor Brokers
EUR/USD
The Euro returned to red in early Thursday’s trading and has already retraced a half of Wednesday’s 1.5% recovery rally, after traders reacted on oversold conditions.
It seems that bounce was short-lived, as recovery repeatedly failed to clearly break above pivotal Fibo barrier at 0.9732 (Fibo 38.2% of 0.0050/0.9535 bear-leg), generating an initial signal of a bull trap.
Bearish daily studies support the action, allowing limited price adjustments on oversold conditions and complementing strongly Euro-negative fundamentals.
Today’s close below broken Fibo 23.6% at 0.9657 would confirm that bears regained control and open way for retesting new 20-year low at 0.9535, violation of which would risk drop towards psychological 0.90 support.
However, long-legged Doji candle is forming on weekly chart and suggesting that bears may take an extended breather before resuming larger downtrend.
Fibo level at 0.9732 marks solid resistance which should keep the upside protected and guard pivotal barrier at 0.9793 (50% retracement / falling 10DMA).
Res: 0.9732; 0.9750; 0.9793; 0.9812.
Sup: 0.9635; 0.9600; 0.9569; 0.9535.
Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels
The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
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