|

EUR/USD: Euro's mild upward momentum it under intense challenge

The single European currency is under intense pressure during the early morning hours of Thursday.ย 

The single currency has retreated significantly from the levels of 1,10 which it managed to approachย  temporarily during yesterday after the announcement of the inflation data in the US.

Yesterday's announcement did not surprise markets as the de-escalation of inflationary pressures is at a tipping point.

However, even this small decline in Consumer price indexย  temporarily pressured the US currency as it failed to fuel and reinforce very small bets on another hike in key interest rates from the Fed's side.

The behavior of the market during the day yesterday broadly confirmed my thinking as expressed in yesterday's article , the range remained between the 1,09 and 1,10 levels and the mixed picture remains on the table.

ฮคoday's losses of the European currency confirm once again that the mild momentum that the European currency had recently developed is easily called into question as the well-known aggressive rhetoric of the European Central Bank does not seem capable of sustaining and giving new momentum to the European currency.

ฮŸn the other hand, as it has shown in the past, the European currency finds its supports, maintains significant strength and has the ability to react strongly and quickly whenever it is under intense pressure.

ฮ’ut having already digested for several days the levels on either side of 1,10 , the possibility of having some significant changes increases and the diveย  which the European currency is currently receiving perhaps it will also lead it to new local lows.

Today's agenda is almost non-existent from European news while on the US side limited to the producer price index and weekly jobless claims.

The market picture remains broadly the same the pairย  remains under confusion as it struggles to find any specific direction and my thinking of sticking to my core strategy has not changed.

Trying to follow the pulse of the market , as the dips in the European currency create lower local lows with the result that a down break this time of 1,09 level and below has some increased probability.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD extends slide below 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair nears its weekly low at around 1.1660 in the American session on Tuesday, retreating from the 1.1750 price zone tested earlier in the day. Cautiously optimistic markets support the US Dollar in the near term.

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3500; looks to US macro data for fresh impetus

The GBP/USD pair oscillates in a narrow range, around the 1.3500 psychological mark during the Asian session on Wednesday, and for now, seems to have stalled the previous day's retracement slide from its highest level since September 18. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favor of bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside.

Gold extends upside to near $4,500 on Venezuela turmoil

Gold price climbs to near $4,500 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The precious metal rises by more than 1% in the day as geopolitical tensions and expectations of US rate cuts keep demand for gold high. The US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index report will be published on Wednesday. 

Australia CPI likely to test RBA hawkishness

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index data for November at 00:30 GMT on Wednesday. This is the second complete monthly CPI report, as the government continues to transition from the quarterly CPI to the monthly gauge as the primary measure of headline inflation.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Cardano holds steady as bulls intensify push for breakout

Cardano rises above the 50-day EMA resistance amid a risk-on mood across the crypto market. The MACD upholds positive divergence, increasing the potential for a 20% breakout to $0.505.