- WTI hit the highest level since Feb 2020, just shy of $53.
- DXY’s retreat, Saudi cuts and US stimulus hopes buoy oil.
- Focus shifts to the API weekly crude stockpiles and virus updates.
WTI (futures on NYMEX) broke the Asian consolidative mode to the upside and refreshed eleven-month highs at $52.77, as the bulls eagerly look forward to a sustained move beyond the $53 threshold.
The latest leg higher in the black gold can be attributed to the retreat in the US dollar across the board, as the Treasury yields look to stabilize after the recent surge. A weaker greenback makes the USD denominated oil cheaper for foreign buyers.
Adding to the upbeat tone around oil, buyers remain hopeful that the voluntary oil output cut announced by Saudi Arabia last week would bring the market into deficit in 2021, offsetting the demand-hit due to the coronavirus lockdowns.
The bulls seem to have shrugged-off growing covid concerns worldwide, with Japan likely to extend its state of emergency into other prefectures while the UK is contemplating greater restrictions depending on the virus spread.
The main factor playing out so far this 2021 is the expectations of bigger US fiscal stimulus, which has jolted Treasury yields higher. Therefore, stimulus updates alongside covid stats will be closely eyed for a fresh take on the sentiment, eventually impacting the higher-yielding oil.
Also, of note remains the American Petroleum Institute’s (API) weekly crude stockpiles data, which will be released later in the NA session.
WTI technical levels
“… a one-week-old rising trend line, near $52.55, offers immediate resistance to the quote ahead of the recent high surrounding $52.70. In a case where the energy bulls manage to refresh the multi-month top, February 2020 peak close to $54.70 should return to the charts. Overall, the oil prices are in an uptrend while marking intermediate pullbacks off-late,” FXStreet’s Analyst Anil Panchal noted.
WTI additional levels
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.