|

WTI Price Analysis: Oil holds 200-day SMA, suffers biggest single-day drop since Sept.8

  • WTI holds the 200-day simple moving average support. 
  • Indicators favor extension of Wednesday's 5.51% decline. 

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, the North American oil benchmark, is currently near $37.50, having avoided a bearish close below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) support on Wednesday. 

However, the black gold ended the day with a 5.51% drop, the biggest single-day percentage loss since Sept. 8. The decline has strengthened the bearish view put forward by the 14-day relative strength index's ascending triangle breakdown confirmed last week. 

Further, the MACD histogram is now charting deeper bars below the zero line, indicating a strengthening of the bearish momentum. 

As such, a convincing break below the 200-day SMA at $37.30 looks likely. That would shift the focus to deeper support at $36.13 (Sept. 8 low). 

On the higher side, a close above the psychological level of $40 is needed to weaken the bearish bias. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price37.48
Today Daily Change0.02
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open37.51
 
Trends
Daily SMA2039.98
Daily SMA5040.35
Daily SMA10040.46
Daily SMA20038.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High39.14
Previous Daily Low37.11
Previous Weekly High41.93
Previous Weekly Low39.65
Previous Monthly High43.56
Previous Monthly Low36.43
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%37.88
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%38.36
Daily Pivot Point S136.7
Daily Pivot Point S235.89
Daily Pivot Point S334.67
Daily Pivot Point R138.72
Daily Pivot Point R239.94
Daily Pivot Point R340.75

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3150  ahead of UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD attracts some follow-through selling for the third straight day and weakens further below the 1.3200 mark, hitting a fresh low since April during the early European session on Friday. The pair remains vulnerable amid UK political uncertainty and ahead of Retail Sales data.

EUR/USD drifts higher above 1.1450 as US, Iran sign initial agreement to end war

The EUR/USD pair recovers some lost ground near 1.1460, snapping the two-day losing streak during the early Asian session on Friday. The Euro strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) after US President Donald Trump signed a deal with Iran to end the war that has disrupted global energy supplies.

Gold slumps to one-week low; $4,100 back in sight amid Fed hike bets and bullish USD

Gold continues losing ground through the Asian session, and touches a fresh weekly trough around the $4,122-$4,121 region in the last hour. The US Dollar retains its bullish bias near the highest level since May 2025 in the face of the US Fed's hawkish tilt, which is seen undermining the non-yielding bullion for the third straight day.

Cardano's Derivatives and on-chain losses compound bearish trend

Cardano (ADA) remains under pressure, trading below $0.165 on Friday, losing over 11% so far this week. Weakening derivatives metrics and deteriorating on-chain data support further correction on ADA. Cardano derivatives metrics support a negative outlook.

 Back above 100: Kevin Warsh’s first Fed meeting sparks US Dollar rally

The US Dollar Index did a phoenix comeback, rising from its ashes and reconquering 100. The reasons behind the US Dollar rally are pretty clear: the Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran, and a hawkish Federal Reserve. Both events were long-awaited and much expected. However, the market reacted with surprise when there were no surprises at all.

The next big AI trade may not be about chips or software

Artificial intelligence has already created some of the biggest winners in modern market history. Chipmakers have surged, data centre construction is booming, and electricity demand forecasts are changing globally.