|

WTI Price Analysis: Heavy around $68.50 as 50-SMA challenges short-term support break

  • WTI extends Friday’s pullback moves, refreshes intraday low.
  • Downside break of a two-week-old rising trend line, descending RSI favor sellers.
  • 100-SMA adds to the downside filters, bulls will wait for fresh monthly high.

WTI remains pressured around $68.50, down 0.60% intraday amid Monday’s Asian session. In doing so, the black gold justifies the recent downside break of a two-week-old rising support line, now resistance, amid descending RSI line.

Also favoring the WTI sellers could be the confirmation of double tops bearish formation, via a clear downside trading below the late August tops.

However, 50-SMA near $68.50 challenges the oil sellers targeting the monthly low around $67.00, also comprising 100-SMA.

In a case where WTI bears keep reins past $67.00, odds of witnessing $64.00, comprising August 19–20 levels, can’t be ruled out.

On the flip side, corrective pullback needs to regain above the previous support line of $68.85, as well as cross August month’s high of $69.50, to restore short-term bullish bias.

Even so, the oil bulls remain skeptical unless witnessing a clear upside break of the monthly peak, also the double tops, around $70.40-45.

WTI: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price68.58
Today Daily Change-0.39
Today Daily Change %-0.57%
Today daily open68.97
 
Trends
Daily SMA2067.26
Daily SMA5069.96
Daily SMA10068.41
Daily SMA20061.94
 
Levels
Previous Daily High70.37
Previous Daily Low68.97
Previous Weekly High70.44
Previous Weekly Low67.02
Previous Monthly High73.54
Previous Monthly Low61.73
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%69.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%69.83
Daily Pivot Point S168.5
Daily Pivot Point S268.04
Daily Pivot Point S367.11
Daily Pivot Point R169.9
Daily Pivot Point R270.83
Daily Pivot Point R371.3

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.