|

WTI inches up to near $86.30 as ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas collapse

  • WTI prices gain ground on failure of ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas in Egypt.
  • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declared Israel's intention to proceed with its plans to invade the Rafah enclave in Gaza, refraining from specifying a date.
  • Mexico's Pemex could reduce Crude exports by at least 330,000 bpd in May.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price rebounds after a two-day decline, edging up to nearly $86.30 per barrel during Tuesday's European trading session. The surge in Crude oil prices followed the failure of the latest ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas in Egypt on Monday.

Earlier discussions for a ceasefire had halted a multi-session rally, causing WTI to break its six-day winning streak. This was due to the anticipation that geopolitical tensions might ease. However, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced on Monday that Israel intends to carry out its plans to invade the Rafah enclave in Gaza, without specifying a date. Additionally, a senior Hamas official stated that they have rejected the latest ceasefire proposal put forward by Israel during the talks in Cairo.

The ongoing conflict carries the heightened risk of drawing in other regional countries, notably Iran, a significant supporter of Hamas and the third-largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). An Iranian retaliation to the suspected Israeli attack on its consulate in Syria last week could potentially embroil the oil market in the conflict. However, Israel has not officially claimed responsibility for the attack.

Mexico's state energy company, Pemex, plans to reduce Crude exports by at least 330,000 barrels per day (bpd) in May. This decision will affect customers in the United States (US), Europe, and Asia, leading to a reduction in supply by a third. The move follows Pemex's directive to its trading arm, PMI Comercio Internacional, to withdraw 436,000 bpd of Maya, Isthmus, and Olmeca crudes this month. This decision aims to meet the needs of domestic refineries as Pemex aims for energy self-sufficiency.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price86.25
Today Daily Change0.30
Today Daily Change %0.34
Today daily open85.95
 
Trends
Daily SMA2082.14
Daily SMA5078.98
Daily SMA10076.25
Daily SMA20079.11
 
Levels
Previous Daily High86.49
Previous Daily Low84.15
Previous Weekly High87.12
Previous Weekly Low82.26
Previous Monthly High83.05
Previous Monthly Low76.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%85.04
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%85.6
Daily Pivot Point S184.57
Daily Pivot Point S283.19
Daily Pivot Point S382.23
Daily Pivot Point R186.91
Daily Pivot Point R287.87
Daily Pivot Point R389.25

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).