|

WTI hits below $50 for the first time in more than a year

  • Crude oil selloff intensifies on Monday amid demand concerns.
  • OPEC+ is considering to deepen output cut by 500K barrels per day.
  • China's crude oil consumption reportedly declined 20% due to coronavirus.

The barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) lost nearly 16% in January and extended its slide on the first trading day of February as markets continue to price the impact of the coronavirus outbreak on the global oil demand. According to Bloomberg, crude oil consumption in China has declined by nearly 20% due to the outbreak.

Demand outlook weighs on WTI

The WTI hit its lowest level since January 2019 at $49.91 in the last hour and recovered modestly to trade around $50.30, where it still losing 2.4% on a daily basis.

In the meantime, Reuters on Monday reported that the OPEC and its allies, OPEC+, is considering to deepen the oil output by 500,000 barrels per day to offset the negative impact of the dismal demand outlook on prices. Nevertheless, the WTI's positive reaction to this headline remained short-lived, suggesting that markets don't think that this measure will be enough to balance the market.

Earlier in the day, Analysts at Citi Group announced that they lowered their oil price forecast for the first quarter of 2020, citing a drastic shift in the economic outlook for China and globally amid the coronavirus outbreak.

Markets will be paying close attention to OPEC+ headlines as the group is reportedly planning an emergency meeting next week. 

Technical levels to watch for

WTI

Overview
Today last price50.46
Today Daily Change-1.24
Today Daily Change %-2.40
Today daily open51.7
 
Trends
Daily SMA2057.15
Daily SMA5058.56
Daily SMA10057.15
Daily SMA20057.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High53.39
Previous Daily Low51.05
Previous Weekly High54.37
Previous Weekly Low51.05
Previous Monthly High65.45
Previous Monthly Low51.05
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%51.94
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%52.49
Daily Pivot Point S150.7
Daily Pivot Point S249.71
Daily Pivot Point S348.36
Daily Pivot Point R153.04
Daily Pivot Point R254.38
Daily Pivot Point R355.38

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1800 on hawkish Fed Minutes, eyes on ECB succession

The EUR/USD pair tumbles to a near two-week low around 1.1785 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro on hawkish FOMC minutes that revived speculation about potential interest rate hikes if inflation remains elevated. 

GBP/USD extends decline as weak jobs data bolsters BoE rate cut bets

The Pound Sterling continued to backslide under sustained pressure on Wednesday, following through after the UK employment report on Tuesday showed a labour market deteriorating faster than expected. 

Gold consolidates the rebound below $5,000, US data eyed

Gold price consolidates the previous rebound below $5,000 in the Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal recovered on Wednesday amid shifts in geopolitical sentiment, boosting safe-haven demand. Traders will keep an eye on the release of US Initial Jobless Claims,  Pending Home Sales data, and the Fedspeak later on Thursday. 

Bitcoin approaches a critical zone: Bear pennant projects $56,000

Based on the most recent analyses from February 2026, the short answer is that it is highly unlikely that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 this month.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.