|

WTI eyes multi-year highs near $80 amid encouraging fundamentals

  • WTI extends Thursday’s turnaround, as a test of the $80 mark looks imminent.
  • Persisting energy supply crunch, gas to oil switch support the US oil.
  • Doubts over the US’ release of oil from its strategic reserves underpin.

WTI (NYMEX futures) is off the two-day highs of $79.61, although remains firmly bid on fundamental factors favoring the bullish traders.

WTI eases on cautious mood but upside risks remain

At the time of writing, WTI is trading $79.35, up 1.25% on the day, poised for a 5% weekly gain.

The retreat in the black gold could be attributed to the cautious market mood, thanks to the re-emergence of concerns about China’s debt-laden property sector and a typical pre-NFP caution trading.

However, the underlying bullish momentum in the US oil remains intact amid a few signs of waning energy supply crunch. Further, increasing demand for oil, as some industries switch from high-cost natural gas to oil, also underpins the sentiment around WTI.

Oil price also benefited from a statement from the US Department of Energy, which cited that it has no plan 'at this time' to tap into the strategic oil reserves to stem the upsurge in the black gold.

The passage of the US debt ceiling bill also cheered the investors, who look to higher-yielding assets such as oil to find trading opportunities.

Markets now look forward to the US NFP release for fresh hints on the Fed’s next policy move, which is likely to have a significant impact on the markets, eventually influencing oil prices.

WTI technical levels to consider

WTI

Overview
Today last price79.30
Today Daily Change0.49
Today Daily Change %0.62
Today daily open78.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA2073.66
Daily SMA5070.22
Daily SMA10070.53
Daily SMA20065.03
 
Levels
Previous Daily High78.63
Previous Daily Low74.75
Previous Weekly High76.51
Previous Weekly Low73
Previous Monthly High76.51
Previous Monthly Low67.02
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%77.15
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%76.23
Daily Pivot Point S176.01
Daily Pivot Point S273.43
Daily Pivot Point S372.12
Daily Pivot Point R179.89
Daily Pivot Point R281.2
Daily Pivot Point R383.78

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold extends rebound to $4,500 as US yields edge lower

Gold (XAU/USD) preserves its recovery momentum following Wednesday's slide and tests the $4,500 mark in the second half of the day on Thursday. While US-Iran uncertainty remains, easing tensions between Lebanon on Israel seems to be helping the market mood improve, causing the USD to lose strength alongside falling US T-bond yields and opening the door for a decisive rebound in XAU/USD.

Bitcoin’s massive storm is back: Why the sell-off is far from over

Bitcoin price action over the last few weeks has felt less like a normal, healthy correction and more like a slow grinding crash that continues to wreak havoc on holdings and trading accounts. And everything suggests that the dramatic crash isn’t over.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.