|

WTI consolidates the recovery around $71.50 ahead of EIA, Fed

  • WTI is clinging onto recovery gains amid risk-on-market mood, subdued DXY.
  • API US supplies fell by 6.1 million barrels last week, Evergrande fears ebb.
  • Focus remains on the Fed decision, Evergrande updates and EIA data.

WTI (NYMEX futures) has entered a phase of upside consolidation around $71.50 on Wednesday after staging an impressive recovery from six-day lows of $69.67 reached a day before.

WTI cheers API stocks draw, risk-on mood

At the time of writing, WTI is trading $71.58, up 1.55% on the day, underpinned by the upbeat market mood, courtesy of easing fears over a default by China’s Evergrande, especially after the company announced that its main unit will make the repayment on Thursday.

Additionally reports that the Chinese government could take over control of Evergrande in an imminent restructuring also buoy the risk sentiment, aiding the recovery in the higher-yielding oil.

Further, the return of risk appetite dulls the US dollar’s safe-haven allure, benefiting the USD-denominated WTI prices. Markets also remain defensive on the greenback ahead of the Fed monetary policy decision, with a tapering announcement widely anticipated.

On the fundamental front, a sharp drawdown in the US weekly crude stockpiles, as per the American Petroleum Institute’s (API) report published late Tuesday, also collaborates with the bullish undertone in the black gold.

The latest API data showed that the US crude supplies fell by 6.1 million barrels for the week ended September 17. Attention now turns towards the Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly crude stocks change data and the Fed verdict for fresh trading impulse.

WTI technical levels to consider

WTI

Overview
Today last price71.52
Today Daily Change0.68
Today Daily Change %0.96
Today daily open70.78
 
Trends
Daily SMA2069.5
Daily SMA5069.13
Daily SMA10069.25
Daily SMA20063.39
 
Levels
Previous Daily High71.42
Previous Daily Low69.35
Previous Weekly High72.88
Previous Weekly Low69.3
Previous Monthly High73.54
Previous Monthly Low61.73
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%70.63
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%70.14
Daily Pivot Point S169.62
Daily Pivot Point S268.45
Daily Pivot Point S367.55
Daily Pivot Point R171.68
Daily Pivot Point R272.58
Daily Pivot Point R373.74

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD battles 0.7000 amid bullish USD

AUD/USD keeps its offered tone intact near 0.7000 at the start of a new week, trading near its lowest level since August 4 amid a bullish US Dollar. US yields hold near multi-year highs amid inflation risks from higher oil prices and rising bets on an October Fed rate hike. This, along with the US-Iran standoff, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck and weigh on the pair ahead of Tuesday's RBA policy announcements.

USD/JPY climbs back toward 158.00 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY finds dip-buyers and reverses part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish Minutes cap the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further supports the pair, driving it back toward 158.00.

Gold slides to $4,200 on Fed hike bets and Iran risks

Gold falls hard at the start of a new week, sliding back closer to $4,200 and the lower boundary of the monthly range. Firming October Fed rate-hike bets, along with oil-driven inflation risks, keep US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs, helping the US Dollar regain positive traction amid persistent Iran risks. These factors weigh heavily on the bullion.

Week ahead: Rate hike bets face a crucial data week
Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February start of the US-Iran conflict, and there is still no breakthrough in the stalled talks, despite pressure from regional leaders and the rest of the world.
After the Trump Xi summit, markets are trading three clocks
The summit delivered time, not a deal. Trade, oil and chips now each run to a date, and the macro backdrop matters more than the pageantry. Markets wanted a deal and got a calendar date instead. Xi Jinping left Washington on Friday after tea at the White House and a tour of the National Archives.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.