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USD/ZAR Price Analysis: USD dives to 1-1/2 week lows against South African Rand

  • USD/ZAR witnessed some heavy selling for the second straight session on Tuesday.
  • Optimism over the easing of lockdowns globally prompted some aggressive USD selling.

The USD/ZAR pair remained under some heavy selling pressure for the second straight session on Tuesday and dropped to 1-1/2-week lows, around the 18.60-55 region in the last hour.

The pair failed to capitalize on last week's bullish daily/weekly close above the 19.00 round-figure mark and witnessed a dramatic turnaround from the vicinity of record highs set earlier this month.

The latest optimism over the easing of coronavirus-related lockdown and a push to accelerate the gradual re-opening of the economies prompted some aggressive US dollar long-unwinding trade.

This comes after South Africa's President Cyril Ramaphosa announced a phased easing of five-week lockdown restrictions from May 1, which provided an additional boost to the SA rand.

The downfall seemed rather unaffected by the fact that the country is relying on the International Monetary Fund, World Bank and New Development Bank to finance the economic stimulus package.

President Ramaphosa last week unveiled R500 billion stimulus package to support the economy amid the coronavirus pandemic. On Friday, Finance Minister Tito Mboweni amended the combined fiscal and monetary package to over R800 billion.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through selling before confirming that the pair might have topped out in the near-term and positioning for any further depreciating move.

Later during the early North-American session, the release of the Conference Board's US Consumer Confidence Index might influence the USD price dynamics and provide some trading impetus.

Technical levels to watch

USD/ZAR

Overview
Today last price18.5955
Today Daily Change-0.2057
Today Daily Change %-1.09
Today daily open18.8012
 
Trends
Daily SMA2018.5751
Daily SMA5017.1581
Daily SMA10015.822
Daily SMA20015.3442
 
Levels
Previous Daily High19.0676
Previous Daily Low18.7567
Previous Weekly High19.2222
Previous Weekly Low18.661
Previous Monthly High18.0895
Previous Monthly Low15.2132
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%18.8755
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%18.9489
Daily Pivot Point S118.6827
Daily Pivot Point S218.5642
Daily Pivot Point S318.3718
Daily Pivot Point R118.9936
Daily Pivot Point R219.1861
Daily Pivot Point R319.3046

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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