USD/ZAR Price Analysis: Bounces from one-month lows despite an impending bear cross


  • USD/ZAR has recovered from four-week lows, still, bias remains bearish. 
  • The 50- and 100-day SMAs are about to produce a bearish crossover for first since December. 

USD/ZAR is trading at 16.8752 at press time, representing a 0.34% gain on the day, having hit a one-month low of 16.7936 on Thursday, 

The bounce from four-week lows could be extended to the descending 5- and 10-day simple moving averages, currently at 16.94 and 17.03 as both the hourly chart RSI and the MACD histogram are reporting bullish signals. 

However, the daily chart MACD, an indicator used to gauge trend strength and trend changes, has crossed below zero in favor of the bears. In addition, the 50-day SMA is about to cross below the 100-day SMA for the first time since December 2019. 

As such, the pair may have a tough time crossing the 5- and 10-day SMA hurdles. A rejection at one of these MAs would reinforce the bearish bias and will likely yield a drop to 16.50. The immediate bearish bias would be invalidated if the pair finds acceptance above the 10-day SMA. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

USD/ZAR

Overview
Today last price 16.869
Today Daily Change 0.0304
Today Daily Change % 0.18
Today daily open 16.8386
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 17.1712
Daily SMA50 17.5383
Daily SMA100 17.4503
Daily SMA200 16.0517
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 16.9799
Previous Daily Low 16.7954
Previous Weekly High 17.4187
Previous Weekly Low 16.8735
Previous Monthly High 17.6219
Previous Monthly Low 16.3363
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 16.8659
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 16.9094
Daily Pivot Point S1 16.7627
Daily Pivot Point S2 16.6867
Daily Pivot Point S3 16.5781
Daily Pivot Point R1 16.9473
Daily Pivot Point R2 17.0559
Daily Pivot Point R3 17.1318

 

 

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