According to IMM Net Speculators’ Positioning as at October 17, 2017, speculators’ net short USD positions increased moderately last week but remain essentially consolidative just below their recent high, notes the research team at Rabobank.
Key Quotes
“In late September shorts increased to their highest level since April 2014 despite the hawkish signals from the Fed. The choice of the next Fed Chair in addition to speculation regarding the ability of the GOP to push through tax reform this year remain in view.”
“Having rallied for three consecutive weeks EUR net longs have dropped back, though they remain elevated. Tensions in Catalonia have weighted on the EUR and remain a negative factor. The outcome of the ECB meeting is likely to be a big influence for the next set of data.”
“Net GBP positions eased for a second consecutive week, though they remain in positive territory on the back of expectations of a BoE rate hike next month. PM May is battling a widespread perception that not much progress has been managed on Brexit talks. Deep divisions in the cabinet are also weighing on sentiment.”
“Net JPY short positions dropped a touch in the approach to the weekend’s election in Japan. The resounding victory for PM Abe has boosted risk appetite and suggests that JPY shorts have the potential to climb further in the next set of data.”
“CHF positions remained in negative territory for an eleventh consecutive week. This is consistent with higher levels of risk appetite and a backdrop of solid growth in the Eurozone. The worries around Catalonia may have some impact going forward.”
“CAD longs slipped modestly but remain elevated. Canadian CPI inflation has risen, though on balance economists are favouring steady policy from the BoC this week. AUD longs dropped back for a third consecutive week. Q3 CPI inflation data are a focus for the week ahead, although there is little chance of a RBA policy move in the foreseeable future. Chinese economic data and prices of iron ore and coal also remain in focus.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.0750 after US data
EUR/USD manages to hold in positive territory above 1.0750 despite retreating from the fresh multi-week high it set above 1.0800 earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to find demand following the weaker-than-expected NFP data.
GBP/USD declines below 1.2550 following NFP-inspired upsurge
GBP/USD struggles to preserve its bullish momentum and trades below 1.2550 in the American session. Earlier in the day, the disappointing April jobs report from the US triggered a USD selloff and allowed the pair to reach multi-week highs above 1.2600.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,300 despite falling US yields
Gold stays on the back foot below $2,300 in the American session on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in negative territory below 4.6% after weak US data but the improving risk mood doesn't allow XAU/USD to gain traction.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Should you buy BTC here? Premium
Bitcoin (BTC) price shows signs of a potential reversal but lacks confirmation, which has divided the investor community into two – those who are buying the dips and those who are expecting a further correction.
Week ahead – BoE and RBA decisions headline a calm week
Bank of England meets on Thursday, unlikely to signal rate cuts. Reserve Bank of Australia could maintain a higher-for-longer stance. Elsewhere, Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions.