|

USD/MXN treads waters above 18.0000 key level, awaits Fed policy decision

  • USD/MXN gains ground despite solid Mexico’s GDP figures.
  • Mexico's economy expanded at 0.9% in the third quarter compared to the 0.8% expected.
  • Positive market sentiment contributes support for the US Dollar ahead of the Fed decision.

USD/MXN aims to continue the gains for the second successive day ahead of the policy decision by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The spot price hovers above 18.0000 during the Asian session on Wednesday. Despite the positive Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, the pair continues to strengthen amid geopolitical tension in the Middle East. 

Mexico's economy expanded at 0.9% slightly above the market consensus of 0.8% in the third quarter between July and September, driven by domestic consumption and industrial activity. Moreover, during the previous week, Mexico’s Jobless Rate declined to 2.9% in September from August's 3.0%. Additionally, Mexico’s Trade Deficit widened in September from $1.377B in August to $1.481B.

The improved risk appetite supports the USD/MXN pair ahead of the Fed interest rate decision. The US Dollar Index (DXY) receives upward support from elevated US Treasury yields, bidding higher near 106.70 at the time of writing. The 10-year US bond yield stands at 4.91% by the press time.

The escalating Middle East conflict could reinforce the prices of Crude oil and Gold, which may provide minor support to the Mexican Peso (MXN).

Investors eagerly await the upcoming policy decision from the US Fed and indications suggest the central bank will likely maintain its current interest rate at 5.5% in the Wednesday meeting. Additionally, in the North American session, traders will closely monitor key indicators such as the US ADP Employment Change and ISM Manufacturing PMI for October.

USD/MXN: important levels to watch

Overview
Today last price18.067
Today Daily Change0.0236
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open18.0434
 
Trends
Daily SMA2018.1136
Daily SMA5017.5878
Daily SMA10017.3023
Daily SMA20017.7264
 
Levels
Previous Daily High18.1129
Previous Daily Low17.9247
Previous Weekly High18.4247
Previous Weekly Low18.0002
Previous Monthly High18.4934
Previous Monthly Low17.3786
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%17.9966
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%18.041
Daily Pivot Point S117.9412
Daily Pivot Point S217.8388
Daily Pivot Point S317.753
Daily Pivot Point R118.1293
Daily Pivot Point R218.2152
Daily Pivot Point R318.3175

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).