|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican Peso pares Banxico-inflicted losses below 50-EMA

  • USD/MXN retreats from key EMA hurdle, fades the previous day’s rebound from one-week low.
  • Banxico kept benchmark interest rates unchanged on mixed inflation clues.
  • Bullish MACD signals keep Mexican Peso sellers hopeful of crossing four-month-old resistance.
  • Bears need validation from 16.70 and US inflation data to keep the reins.

USD/MXN clings to mild losses near 17.11 heading into Friday’s European session as market players seek more clues to defend the previous day’s recovery from the weekly low. In doing so, the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair fades the currency’s fall past Banxico’s status quo amid fears of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy pivot.

That said, the bullish MACD signals join the USD/MXN pair’s ability t stay beyond the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and five-week-old horizontal support to keep the buyers hopeful to visit the area between 17.00 and 16.98.

Even so, the 50-EMA hurdle of 17.14 guards the immediate upside of the USD/MXN pair, a break of which could direct the Mexican Peso (MXN sellers toward the downward-sloping resistance line from early April, close to 17.28 at the latest.

It’s worth observing that the monthly high of nearly 17.42 acts as the final defense of the Mexican Peso buyers.

On the flip side, a clear break below the 16.98 support needs validation from the previous monthly low of around 16.62 to convince the USD/MXN bears.

Overall, USD/MXN remains on the bull’s radar despite the latest retreat.

USD/MXN: Daily chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price17.1102
Today Daily Change-0.0260
Today Daily Change %-0.15%
Today daily open17.1362
 
Trends
Daily SMA2016.922
Daily SMA5017.0671
Daily SMA10017.4979
Daily SMA20018.2627
 
Levels
Previous Daily High17.1426
Previous Daily Low16.9101
Previous Weekly High17.4274
Previous Weekly Low16.6694
Previous Monthly High17.3957
Previous Monthly Low16.6258
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%17.0538
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%16.9989
Daily Pivot Point S116.9834
Daily Pivot Point S216.8305
Daily Pivot Point S316.7509
Daily Pivot Point R117.2158
Daily Pivot Point R217.2954
Daily Pivot Point R317.4482

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY meets support near 157.00

USD/JPY retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, revisiting the 157.00 region before attempting some recovery as investors continue to assess the latest BoJ meeting, where the central bank left rates unchanged, as widely anticipated.

Gold sinks to fresh yearly lows despite risk-off mood as Fed rate hike bets weigh

Gold slips to fresh year-to-date lows on Friday. The metal struggles despite a risk-off mood across markets, as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes continue to dominate price action, leaving Gold on track to end the month in negative territory.


Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
BoJ recap: A pause for now... but Japan has entered a new inflation phase
The Bank of Japan left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 1.25% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message on the risk of an inflation overshoot. The decision passed by 8-1, with board member Takata dissenting in favour of an increase to 1.5%, while Governor Kazuo Ueda stressed that the Bank would continue adjusting policy as needed.
The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.