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USD/MXN moves sideways ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls, lingers near 16.90

  • USD/MXN consolidates as traders await the crucial labor market indicators.
  • The US Dollar Index (DXY) attempts to halt its losing streak that began on March 1.
  • Mexico’s 12-Month Inflation rose by 4.40% in February, compared to a 4.88% rise in January.

USD/MXN consolidates with reduced volatility, which could be attributed to investors exercising caution ahead of the scheduled release of US Nonfarm Payrolls and other employment data on Friday. The pair trades near 16.90 during the European session on Friday.

The Mexican Peso (MXN) could have faced downward pressure following the release of the country's 12-Month Inflation, rising by 4.40% in February. This figure marked a decline from a seven-month high of 4.88% rise in January and was slightly lower than the forecasted increase of 4.42%.

The Bank of Mexico (Banxico) reported that Core Inflation increased by 0.49%, higher than the previous 0.40% rise. However, Headline Inflation rose by 0.9%, which was lower than the expected 0.11% and the previous 0.89% increase.

On Thursday, US Initial Jobless Claims remained steady at 217K for the week ending on March 1, despite expectations of 215K. Meanwhile, US Nonfarm Productivity maintained a consistent growth rate of 3.2% in the fourth quarter of 2023, slightly surpassing market expectations of 3.1%.

On Friday, US Nonfarm Payrolls are projected to report 200K new jobs created in February, compared to 353K previously, potentially reinforcing market expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in June. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted at the possibility of interest rate cuts occurring sometime in 2024. The CME FedWatch Tool suggests a 56.7% likelihood of a 25-basis points rate cut in June. These factors are collectively exerting downward pressure on the US Dollar, consequently undermining the USD/MXN pair.

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price16.8723
Today Daily Change-0.0047
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open16.877
 
Trends
Daily SMA2017.0461
Daily SMA5017.0653
Daily SMA10017.2474
Daily SMA20017.2428
 
Levels
Previous Daily High16.9244
Previous Daily Low16.8487
Previous Weekly High17.1443
Previous Weekly Low16.9982
Previous Monthly High17.2852
Previous Monthly Low16.9953
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%16.8776
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%16.8955
Daily Pivot Point S116.8423
Daily Pivot Point S216.8077
Daily Pivot Point S316.7666
Daily Pivot Point R116.918
Daily Pivot Point R216.9591
Daily Pivot Point R316.9937

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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