|

USD/MXN depreciates on the decline of US yields, trades around 17.10

  • USD/MXN loses ground as US Dollar declines due to weaker US yields.
  • Mexican Peso could weaken on future economic policies from the new administration.
  • The Greenback strengthens on Fed’s hawkish stance on interest rate trajectory.

USD/MXN extends its losses for the second successive session, inching lower to around 17.10 during the early European session on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) loses some ground due to the downbeat US Treasury yields, which puts pressure on the USD/MXN pair.

The upcoming presidential election on June 2nd is anticipated to result in Claudia Sheinbaum of the Morena party assuming victory. Market analysts foresee a gradual depreciation of the Mexican Peso (MXN) due to anticipated uncertainties surrounding the economic policies of the incoming administration.

Additionally, their projections include a 25 basis points rate cut starting in March. Furthermore, experts anticipate a subsequent escalation in the scale of rate cuts by the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) later in 2024.

December’s PPI (YoY) reported a decline of 10.6%, against the anticipated decrease of 10.5% and the previous figure of 8.8%. While US ISM Services Prices Paid increased to the reading of 64.0 in January, from December’s reading of 56.7.

Over the weekend, Powell remarked that it was premature to ease policy, emphasizing that the task of steering inflation toward its 2% target is ongoing. He added that the Federal Reserve might consider its first rate cut around the middle of the year.

Market participants will closely observe speeches from Federal Reserve officials for additional insights into potential adjustments to monetary policy. On the Mexican front, the release of Consumer Confidence data is scheduled for Wednesday, which will be closely watched for indications of the economic outlook in Mexico.

USD/MXN: additional technical levels

Overview
Today last price17.0799
Today Daily Change-0.0226
Today Daily Change %-0.13
Today daily open17.1025
 
Trends
Daily SMA2017.1167
Daily SMA5017.1331
Daily SMA10017.4142
Daily SMA20017.3197
 
Levels
Previous Daily High17.2807
Previous Daily Low17.0879
Previous Weekly High17.2852
Previous Weekly Low17.0382
Previous Monthly High17.3871
Previous Monthly Low16.7842
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%17.1615
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%17.207
Daily Pivot Point S117.0333
Daily Pivot Point S216.9642
Daily Pivot Point S316.8405
Daily Pivot Point R117.2262
Daily Pivot Point R217.3498
Daily Pivot Point R317.419

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hits eight-month lows below 0.6850 amid bullish USD

AUD/USD stays defensive below 0.6850, hitting an eight-month low in the Asian session on Thursday as the possibility of a steeper Fed rate hike in December helps the US Dollar hold near its highest level since April 2025. Geopolitical uncertainty also supports the safe-haven buck, while the RBA’s cautious, on-hold stance limits the Aussie.

USD/JPY eases from near 160.00 amid looming intervention risks, BoJ hike bets

USD/JPY retreats slightly from an over two-month high as the recent surge back to the 160.00 psychological mark prompted verbal warnings from Japanese authorities and sparked fears of direct FX intervention. Moreover, data showed that Japan’s wholesale inflation picked up again in October, strengthening the case for a BoJ hike in December and lifting the Japanese Yen. However, a bullish US Dollar, bolstered by odds of a jumbo Fed rate hike in December, could cap the pair's downside.



Gold remains a sell-on-rise trade amid steeper Fed hike bets

Gold fades its tepid recovery attempts at the $4,000 level early Thursday, as sellers refuse to budge amid rising expectations of a steeper interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve at its December monetary policy meeting.

XRP consolidates losses, XLM extends recovery
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) show mild signs of recovery on Thursday, but bears continue to weigh on both cryptocurrencies. XRP trades near $1.055 while XLM holds modest gains around $0.148. Meanwhile, weakening on-chain activity caps both altcoins’ recovery prospects, despite improving price action. CryptoQuant’s summary data shows a bearish outlook for both altcoins.
UK GDP is set to show that the economy continued growing in Q3

The highlight of the United Kingdom’s economic calendar this week will be the preliminary estimate of third-quarter Gross Domestic Product, which the Office for National Statistics will release on Thursday. The market is bracing for 0.7% growth in the three months to September, following 0.5% growth in the second quarter of 2026, with the annual rate accelerating to 1.9%, from 1.4% in the previous month.

What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.