|

USD/JPY tumbles to 1-1/2 week low on US political uncertainty

The USD/JPY pair remained under intense selling pressure and has now dropped to a 1-1/2 week low level near 112.35-40 region.

Spot extended last week's reversal move from near two-month highs, beyond the 114.00 handle, and traded with bearish bias for fourth session in the previous five amid persistent US Dollar selling pressure led by lackluster incoming US macro data. Recent data disappointment now seems to have dampened expectations for faster Fed rate-tightening cycle and is eventually weighing on the greenback. 

The bearish sentiment surrounding the buck got aggravated since early Asian session on Wednesday after The New York Times reported that the US President Donald Trump had asked then-FBI Director James Comey in February to drop the investigation into Michael Flynn. The news followed earlier report that Trump shared classified information with top Russian officials at a meeting last week. 

   •  It's OK, Trump's agenda still intact - Westpac

Political uncertainty in the world's largest economy triggered a fresh way of global risk-aversion trade, also reaffirmed by plunging US treasury bond yields, boosted the Japanese Yen's safe-haven appeal and further collaborated to the heavily offered tone surrounding the major.

With an empty US economic docket, the pair remains at the mercy of broader market risk-sentiment, which favors continuation of the pair's downward trajectory.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate support is pegged near 112.10-112.00 area, below which the pair is likely to accelerate the slide towards 111.50-45 horizontal support en-route the 111.00 handle. On the flip side, 112.70-75 zone now becomes immediate hurdle, which if cleared might trigger a short-covering bounce towards the 113.00 round figure mark ahead of 113.30-35 horizontal resistance.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD slides as AI sell-off rattles Wall Street

The Aussie Dollar dives 0.11% on Thursday as the US Dollar retreats from monthly highs, with safe-haven flows shifting from the Greenback to the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc amid losses on Wall Street and US yields. The AUD/USD trades at 0.6960 at the time of writing.

USD/JPY slips below 158.00 as USD retreats

USD/JPY returns to the red below 158.00 in the Asian session on Thursday amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar eases from near an 18-month high on profit taking, ignoring Wednesday's hawkish FOMC Minutes and the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East, adding to the pair's pullback.

Gold clings to daily gains; still below $4,150

Gold regains some composure and climbs back to the vicinity $4,150 mark per troy ounce amid decent gains on Thursday. The yellow metal’s recovery follows some loss of momentum in the US Dollar strength and a decent drop in US Treasury yields across the curve.

XRP downtrend persists as EMA support strains while Binance reserves swell
Ripple (XRP) sellers are gaining ground on Thursday, as the token slips below $1.40. Sell-side pressure remains intense in the broader crypto market, as seen with leading digital assets, including Bitcoin (BTC) currently below $83,000 and Ethereum (ETH), sliding below $2,600. Despite the correction, XRP retains a constructive technical outlook, with support provided by a key moving average cluster.
Three fundamental drivers are all pushing the Euro south. This chart shows them lining up on 1.1000
EUR/USD has already fallen sharply, but the forces pushing the pair lower are becoming increasingly interconnected. French fiscal concerns, renewed energy pressure and an uncomfortable policy dilemma for the European Central Bank (ECB) are colliding with a US economy that continues to give the Federal Reserve (Fed) little reason to turn dovish.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.