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USD/JPY trades with modest gains around 108.30 area, upside remains capped

  • A combination of factors assisted USD/JPY to stage a modest bounce from multi-week lows.
  • An uptick in the US bond yields helped revive the USD demand and remained supportive.
  • A weaker tone around equity markets benefitted the safe-haven JPY and capped the upside.

The USD/JPY pair maintained its bid tone through the early North American session, albeit seemed struggling to capitalize on the move beyond mid-108.00s.

The pair showed some resilience below the 108.00 mark and gained some positive traction on Tuesday to recover a part of the previous day's losses. An intraday uptick in the US Treasury bond yields triggered the initial leg of the positive move, which got an additional lift from a modest US dollar rebound from multi-week lows.

However, a turnaround in the global risk sentiment – as depicted by a weaker opening in the US equity markets – extended some support to the safe-haven Japanese yen. This, in turn, held bullish traders from placing any aggressive bets and kept a lid on any meaningful upside for the USD/JPY pair, at least for the time being.

Meanwhile, the USD/JPY pair's inability to capitalize on the recovery move suggests that the recent slide from the vicinity of the 111.00 mark, or one-year tops might still be far from being over. This makes it prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before confirming that the pair has formed a strong near-term base.

In the absence of any major market-moving economic data from the US, the broader market risk sentiment will drive demand for the safe-haven JPY and provide some impetus to the USD/JPY pair. Traders might further take cues from the US bond yields, which might influence the USD price dynamics and produce some short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price108.33
Today Daily Change0.15
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open108.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.51
Daily SMA50108
Daily SMA100105.96
Daily SMA200105.71
 
Levels
Previous Daily High108.84
Previous Daily Low108.01
Previous Weekly High109.77
Previous Weekly Low108.61
Previous Monthly High110.97
Previous Monthly Low106.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%108.33
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%108.52
Daily Pivot Point S1107.85
Daily Pivot Point S2107.52
Daily Pivot Point S3107.02
Daily Pivot Point R1108.67
Daily Pivot Point R2109.17
Daily Pivot Point R3109.5

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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