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USD/JPY technical analysis: The recent positive move stalls near 61.8% Fibo., bullish bias remains

  • Reviving safe-haven demand underpins JPY and prompts some long-unwinding.
  • The set-up remains in favour of bulls and should attract some dip-buying interest.

The USD/JPY pair trimmed a part of its early modest gains to over one-month tops, albeit has still managed to hold its neck comfortably above the 107.00 round figure mark. Given last week's breakthrough the 106.70 heavy supply zone - coinciding with 200-period SMA on the 4-hourly chart - still support prospects for an extension of the recent recovery move from multi-year lows.
 
Moreover, bullish oscillators on hourly/daily charts further add credence to the constructive outlook, albeit a slight deterioration in the global risk sentiment underpinned the Japanese Yen's relative safe-haven status and kept a lid on any further up-move. The pair stalled its bullish trajectory and witnessed a modest intraday pullback from a resistance marked by 61.8% Fibo. of the 109.32-104.46 downfall.
 
Any meaningful pullback towards the 107.00 handle might still be seen as an opportunity to initiate some fresh bullish positions and should help limit further downside near the mentioned resistance breakpoint, now turned support near the 106.70 region, which if broken might trigger aggressive technical selling and turn the pair vulnerable to accelerate the slide back towards testing sub-106.00 level.
 
On the upside, immediate resistance is pegged near mid-107.00s (61.8% Fibo. level), above which the pair seems all set to aim towards reclaiming the 108.00 handle. A follow-through buying will reaffirm the near-term bullish outlook and pave the way for a further near-term appreciating move, possibly beyond the 109.00 round figure mark.

USD/JPY 4-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price107.24
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open107.24
 
Trends
Daily SMA20106.34
Daily SMA50107.16
Daily SMA100108.27
Daily SMA200109.53
Levels
Previous Daily High107.28
Previous Daily Low106.76
Previous Weekly High107.23
Previous Weekly Low105.74
Previous Monthly High109.32
Previous Monthly Low104.45
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%107.08
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%106.96
Daily Pivot Point S1106.91
Daily Pivot Point S2106.58
Daily Pivot Point S3106.39
Daily Pivot Point R1107.42
Daily Pivot Point R2107.61
Daily Pivot Point R3107.94

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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