USD/JPY technical analysis: Probing 4.5-month falling trendline

USD/JPY is currently testing the trendline trending south from April highs.
The pair has gained more than 350 pips over the last two weeks, possibly tracking the rise in Treasury yields.

Omkar Godbole FXStreet Contributor

USD/JPY is bid for the fourth straight day and is currently chipping away at the resistance of the trendline connecting April 24 and Aug. 1 highs.

As of writing, the trendline resistance is seen at 108.03.

A daily close above the trendline would bolster the bullish setup represented by the ascending 5- and 10-day moving averages and higher highs, higher lows pattern. Also, the 14-day relative strength index is reporting bullish condition with an above-50 print. The indicator is currently seen at 63.00, the highest level since March.

It is worth noting that the pair is currently up more than 350 pips from the low of 104.45 seen on Aug. 26.

The rise could be associated with the US 10-year treasury yield's recovery from 1.42% to 1.76% (Asian session high).

So, an upside break of the trendline, if any, could be short-lived if the bullish move is not backed by a further uptick in treasury yields. That said, the bullish outlook would be neutralized if and when the pair closes below the 10-day MA, currently at 106.92.

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price	108.03
Today Daily Change	0.22
Today Daily Change %	0.20
Today daily open	107.82

Trends
Daily SMA20	106.48
Daily SMA50	107.15
Daily SMA100	108.19
Daily SMA200	109.47

Levels
Previous Daily High	107.86
Previous Daily Low	107.5
Previous Weekly High	107.23
Previous Weekly Low	105.74
Previous Monthly High	109.32
Previous Monthly Low	104.45
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	107.72
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	107.64
Daily Pivot Point S1	107.59
Daily Pivot Point S2	107.36
Daily Pivot Point S3	107.22
Daily Pivot Point R1	107.96
Daily Pivot Point R2	108.09
Daily Pivot Point R3	108.32

Author

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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