|

USD/JPY sticks to intraday gains post-BoJ’s Kuroda, remains below 115.00 mark

  • USD/JPY edged higher on Tuesday, albeit struggled to find acceptance above the 115.00 mark.
  • The widening of the US-Japanese yield differential continued acting as a tailwind for the major.
  • A softer risk tone benefitted the safe-haven JPY and kept a lid on any further gains for the pair.

The USD/JPY pair maintained its bid tone heading into the European session, albeit has retreated a few pips from the daily high and was last seen trading just below the 115.00 mark.

The pair built on its recovery from a multi-week low, around mid-113.00s touched in reaction to dismal US retail sales report on Friday and gained traction for the second straight day on Tuesday. A further widening of the US-Japanese government bond yield differential was seen as a key factor that acted as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair.

In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond shot to the highest level since January 2022 amid growing acceptance that the Fed would start raising interest rates in March 2022. Conversely, the yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond remained near zero due to the Bank of Japan's yield curve control policy.

Meanwhile, a continual surge in the US bond yields underpinned the US dollar, which provided an additional lift to the USD/JPY pair. That said, an extended sell-off in the US money markets tempered investors' appetite for riskier assets. This, in turn, benefitted the safe-haven Japanese yen and capped the upside for the major.

The intraday movement seemed rather unaffected by the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to leave interest rates steady at -0.10% at the end of its policy meeting on Tuesday. In the post-meeting press conference, the BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda reiterated that the central bank will ease policy further without hesitation as needed.

The fundamental backdrop favours bullish traders and supports prospects for additional gains. Bulls, however, are likely to wait for a sustained strength beyond the key 115.00 psychological mark before positioning for a further near-term appreciating move. Traders now look forward to the Empire State Manufacturing Index for a fresh impetus.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price114.9
Today Daily Change0.28
Today Daily Change %0.24
Today daily open114.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA20114.94
Daily SMA50114.28
Daily SMA100113.07
Daily SMA200111.36
 
Levels
Previous Daily High114.65
Previous Daily Low114.16
Previous Weekly High115.85
Previous Weekly Low113.48
Previous Monthly High115.21
Previous Monthly Low112.56
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%114.46
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%114.34
Daily Pivot Point S1114.3
Daily Pivot Point S2113.98
Daily Pivot Point S3113.81
Daily Pivot Point R1114.79
Daily Pivot Point R2114.97
Daily Pivot Point R3115.28

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases marginally, back to 1.1800

EUR/USD navigates a narrow range on Thursday, hovering around the 1.1800 neighbourhood in a context of humble gains in the US Dollar. The pair’s lacklustre performance come amid the unabated trade uncertainty, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the cautious tone from the ECB’s Lagarde.

GBP/USD retreats from tops, approaching 1.3540

GBP/USD partially sets aside Wednesday’s strong advance and recedes to the 1.3540 region on Thursday. Cable’s modest retracement follows the equally acceptable gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold clings to gains just below $5,200, focus on geopolitics

Gold is edging modestly higher on Thursday, adding to Wednesday’s uptick and holding just below the $5,200 mark per troy ounce against the backdrop of modest gains in the US Dollar. In the meantime, attention is turning to the geopolitical scenario following US-Iran nuclear talks.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty. 

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.