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USD/JPY slides to three-day lows, bears eyeing 109.00 mark

  • A combination of factors dragged USD/JPY lower for the third consecutive session on Monday.
  • Friday’s disappointing US Retail Sales, sliding US bond yields continued undermining the USD.
  • Persistent coronavirus jitters benefitted the safe-haven JPY and contributed to the selling bias.

The USD/JPY pair edged lower heading into the European session and dropped to three-day lows, around the 109.15 region in the last hour.

The pair struggled to capitalize on its modest intraday uptick, instead met with some fresh supply near mid-109.00s and has now drifted into the negative territory for the third straight session. Friday's disappointing US Retail Sales figures reaffirmed the Fed's dovish view and kept the US dollar bulls on the defensive. This, in turn, capped the upside for the USD/JPY pair.

In fact, the headline sales remained virtually unchanged during the reported month, marking a sharp deceleration from March's upwardly revised reading of 10.7% (9.8% estimated previously). Adding to this, sales excluding autos decline 0.8% MoM in April, while the closely watched Retail Sales Control Group also fell short of market expectations and came in at -1.5%.

Bearish traders further took cues from the ongoing decline in the US Treasury bond yields, which was seen as another factor that acted as a headwind for the USD. On the other hand, worries over the continuous surge in new coronavirus cases in Asia underpinned the safe-haven Japanese yen and further contributed to the USD/JPY pair's intraday decline back closer to the 109.00 round figure.

There isn't any major market-moving economic data due for release from the US on Monday. Hence, the US bond yields will play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics. Apart from this, the broader market risk sentiment will drive demand for the safe-haven JPY and allow traders to grab some short-term opportunities on the first day of a new trading week.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price109.18
Today Daily Change-0.10
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open109.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA20108.76
Daily SMA50109.08
Daily SMA100106.9
Daily SMA200105.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High109.66
Previous Daily Low109.19
Previous Weekly High109.78
Previous Weekly Low108.35
Previous Monthly High110.85
Previous Monthly Low107.48
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%109.37
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.48
Daily Pivot Point S1109.1
Daily Pivot Point S2108.91
Daily Pivot Point S3108.62
Daily Pivot Point R1109.57
Daily Pivot Point R2109.85
Daily Pivot Point R3110.04

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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