|

USD/JPY retakes 134.00 mark and beyond, eyes weekly high set on Wednesday

  • USD/JPY attracts some dip-buying on Thursday and turns positive for the third straight day.
  • The Fed-BoJ policy divergence continues to weigh on the JPY and offers support to the pair.
  • Sliding US bond yields keep the USD bulls on the defensive and might cap any further gains.

The USD/JPY pair reverses an intraday dip to the 133.40 area and turns positive for the third straight day on Thursday. Spot prices climb back above the 134.00 mark during the early European session, with bulls now eyeing a move towards the weekly high touched the previous day.

A big divergence in the monetary policy stance adopted by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan continues to weigh on the Japanese yen, which, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. It is worth recalling that several Fed officials hinted this week that more interest rates are coming in the near term. In contrast, the BoJ has repeatedly called to stick to its ultra-easy policy settings and its commitment to keep the 10-year Japanese government bond yield around 0%.

The USD/JPY pair uptick, however, seems limited amid the ongoing decline in the US Treasury bond yields, which keeps the US dollar bulls on the defensive. Apart from this, the cautious mood around the equity markets could lend some support to the safe-haven JPY and further contribute to capping any meaningful upside for the USD/JPY pair, at least for the time being. This makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before positioning for any further appreciating move.

Thursday's key focus would remain on the Bank of England monetary policy decision, which could infuse some volatility in the markets and provide some impetus to the USD/JPY pair. Traders will further take cues from the release of the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data from the US, due later during the early North American session. This, along with the US bond yields and Fedspeak, might influence the USD price dynamics and allow traders to grab short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price134.19
Today Daily Change0.34
Today Daily Change %0.25
Today daily open133.85
 
Trends
Daily SMA20136.27
Daily SMA50134.6
Daily SMA100130.41
Daily SMA200122.55
 
Levels
Previous Daily High134.55
Previous Daily Low132.29
Previous Weekly High137.46
Previous Weekly Low132.5
Previous Monthly High139.39
Previous Monthly Low132.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%133.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%133.15
Daily Pivot Point S1132.58
Daily Pivot Point S2131.3
Daily Pivot Point S3130.32
Daily Pivot Point R1134.84
Daily Pivot Point R2135.82
Daily Pivot Point R3137.1

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).