|

USD/JPY remains capped below the 150.00 mark, investors await the Japanese CPI data

  • USD/JPY oscillates in a tight trading range above the mid-149.00s amid the volatile session.
  • US Retail Sales for September came in better than expected.
  • The Bank of Japan considered revising its core CPI forecasts for 2023 and 2024 while maintaining its 2025 inflation forecast.

The USD/JPY pair remains confined in a narrow range around 149.75 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. A surge in US Treasury bond yields underpinned the major pair. At nearly the 150.00 mark, investors remain on guard for the possibility of an intervention by Japanese authorities.

However, the Greenback attracted some buyers on the back of the upbeat US data on Tuesday, but the impact was short-lived. The US Census Bureau on Tuesday showed that US Retail Sales for September rose by 0.7% MoM, beating the market consensus of 0.3%. Retail Sales Control Group climbed 0.6% MoM versus 0.2% prior. The data suggest strong momentum in consumption.

Additionally, US Industrial Production climbed 0.3% MoM, stronger than expected. Finally, Capacity Utilization surged to 79.7, better than estimated. Meanwhile, higher US Treasury yields might cap the downside of the USD and act as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair.

On Tuesday, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari stated that inflation has taken considerably longer than expected and is still too high. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker maintained his dovish stance by mentioning that that in the absence of some turn in the data, the Fed should hold rates steady. Traders will take more cues from the Fed officials on Wednesday, including Waller, Williams, and Bowman, which might offer some hints about further monetary policy paths.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki denied to comment about currency intervention by an International Monetary Fund (IMF) official on Tuesday. Suzuki went on to say that there was no need to go into detail about the factors that impact the currency. Investors await the Japanese inflation data on Friday for fresh impetus. The National Consumer Price Index (CPI) ex-Fresh Food for September is expected to rise 2.7% YoY from 3.1% in the previous reading.

Furthermore, Japan’s top financial diplomat Masato Kanda said on Monday that the Japanese Yen (JPY) continued to be considered a safe-haven asset, comparable to the Swiss franc and US dollar, and was benefiting from safe-haven flow caused by the rising geopolitical tension in the Middle East. Kanda additionally affirmed that if excessive moves occurred in the currency market, the authorities would take steps such as raising interest rates or intervening in the market.

On Tuesday, a media report that the Bank of Japan was considering revising its core CPI forecast for the fiscal years 2023 and 2024 while keeping its inflation forecast for 2025.

Later on Wednesday, the US Housing Starts and Building Permits will be released. The attention will shift to the Japanese inflation data on Friday. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around the USD/JPY pair.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price149.76
Today Daily Change-0.06
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open149.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA20149.08
Daily SMA50147.44
Daily SMA100144.42
Daily SMA200139.05
 
Levels
Previous Daily High149.85
Previous Daily Low148.76
Previous Weekly High149.83
Previous Weekly Low148.16
Previous Monthly High149.71
Previous Monthly Low144.44
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%149.44
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%149.18
Daily Pivot Point S1149.11
Daily Pivot Point S2148.39
Daily Pivot Point S3148.02
Daily Pivot Point R1150.19
Daily Pivot Point R2150.57
Daily Pivot Point R3151.28

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold fades the earlier optimism; back below $4,200

Gold could not sustain the post-NFP bull run past the $4,200 mark per troy ounce, receding toward the $4,180 region at the end of the week. The precious metal’s inconclusive price action comes amid fresh selling pressure hurting the US Dollar as investors assess the latest NFP data.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP gains reinforce bullish outlook

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly recovering on Friday, led by Bitcoin moving above $86,000. Ethereum has reaffirmed its bullish outlook, rising above $2,700 while the immediate area at $2,800 caps upside. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers near $1.54.

Week ahead – Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout

Energy crisis and soaring bond yields to stay in driver’s seat in quiet week. Fed minutes eyed after drop in October rate hike bets. ISM services PMI and Treasury auctions to be watched too. Canadian employment, Japanese wages and ECB minutes also on tap.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.