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USD/JPY remains bid as BOJ downgrades Japan's growth forecasts

  • USD/JPY keeps gains as BOJ downgrades 2020-2021 GDP forecast. 
  • The central bank reiterates willingness to provide more stimulus, if required. 
  • The uptick in the S&P 500 futures help USD/JPY carve out gains. 

USD/JPY continues to trade in the green with the Bank of Japan (BOJ) revising growth and inflation forecasts lower and keeping interest rates unchanged as expected. 

The central bank maintained the policy balance rate at -0.1% and retained the 10-year Japanese government bond yield target at about 0%, but downgraded the consumer price index (CPI) inflation forecast for the current fiscal year (April 2020 to March 2021) to -0.6% from -0.5%. 

However, the bank sees inflation rising to 0.4% in the next fiscal year compared to the previous estimate of 0.3%. 

Further, BOJ sees gross domestic product (GDP) contracting by 5.5% in the current fiscal year versus the previous forecast of -4.7% and upgraded growth forecast for the next fiscal to 3.6% from 3.3%. The bank added that it would take additional steps [stimulus] if needed. 

So far, the BOJ's rate decision and economic forecast have not had a notable impact on USD/JPY, possibly because the bank is unlikely to alter stimulus program anytime soon. 

Besides, the focus right now is on the broader market sentiment. At press time, the futures tied to the S&P 500 signify risk reset with a 0.88% and help keep the yen bulls at bay. As such, USD/JPY is flashing green at 104.50. The pair may turn lower if the stocks resume Wednesday's coronavirus-induced sell-off.

Technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price104.48
Today Daily Change0.16
Today Daily Change %0.15
Today daily open104.32
 
Trends
Daily SMA20105.27
Daily SMA50105.53
Daily SMA100106.11
Daily SMA200107.17
 
Levels
Previous Daily High104.56
Previous Daily Low104.12
Previous Weekly High105.75
Previous Weekly Low104.34
Previous Monthly High106.55
Previous Monthly Low104
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%104.28
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.39
Daily Pivot Point S1104.11
Daily Pivot Point S2103.89
Daily Pivot Point S3103.66
Daily Pivot Point R1104.55
Daily Pivot Point R2104.77
Daily Pivot Point R3104.99


 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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