USD/JPY: Recovery stalls near 107.70, focus on trade, US data


  • NY Fed disavowed President Williams’ comments, USD and US rates bounce.
  • Trade/ geopolitical worries, Fed easing bets to keep gains capped.
  • US Michigan Consumer Sentiment data eyed amid risk-on.

The US dollar recovery gathered steam across the board in the European session, sending USD/JPY back towards 107.75, as the bulls continue to cheer the New York Fed’s clarification that President Williams’ comments were academic and not about immediate policy direction.

The US dollar collapsed across its main competitors in tandem with the Treasury yields in the US last session after the NY Fed President Williams’ comments remarks bolstered bets that the Fed would cut interest rates by 50 basis points, rather than 25 basis points.

However, the further upside looks elusive amid a lack of clarity on the US-China trade in-person trade meeting while escalating US-Iran geopolitical tensions also weigh on the risk sentiment that helps limit the downside in the safe-haven Yen. The Middle East tensions flared up again after the US Navy ship downed an Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz. However, the Iranian officials deny any such incident.

Further, looming July Fed rate cut also keep the dollar recovery in check, in turn loosening the bullish grip around the USD/JPY pair. The US dollar index stalled its bounce at 96.91, now trading around 96.80 region, almost unchanged on the day.

Markets now await the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for the next direction on the prices. In the meantime, the pair will remain at mercy of the USD price-action and broader market sentiment.

Levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 107.58
Today Daily Change 0.29
Today Daily Change % 0.27
Today daily open 107.29
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 107.98
Daily SMA50 108.6
Daily SMA100 109.96
Daily SMA200 110.67
Levels
Previous Daily High 108.02
Previous Daily Low 107.21
Previous Weekly High 109
Previous Weekly Low 107.8
Previous Monthly High 108.8
Previous Monthly Low 106.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 107.52
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 107.71
Daily Pivot Point S1 107
Daily Pivot Point S2 106.7
Daily Pivot Point S3 106.19
Daily Pivot Point R1 107.8
Daily Pivot Point R2 108.31
Daily Pivot Point R3 108.61

 

 

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