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USD/JPY rallies to 109.80-85 region amid broad-based USD strength

  • USD/JPY gained strong traction on Thursday and snapped two days of the losing streak.
  • A strong pickup in the USD demand was seen as a key factor driving the pair higher.
  • The momentum picked up pace following the release of mostly upbeat US macro data.

The USD/JPY pair witnessed an aggressive short-covering move during the early North American session and jumped to the 109.80-85 region in reaction to mostly upbeat US macro data.

The pair attracted some dip-buying near the 109.20 region on Thursday and built on the previous day's modest bounce from near one-month lows amid resurgent US dollar demand. The USD/JPY pair, for now, seems to have stalled this week's softer US CPI-inspired retracement slide and snap two consecutive days of the losing streak.

The USD buying picked up pace after the headline US Retail Sales smashed estimates and increased 0.7% MoM in August. Moreover, sales excluding autos recorded a much stronger growth and came in at 1.8%, underscoring consumer confidence. Adding to this, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index jumped to 30.7 in September from 19.4 previous.

This, to a larger extent, helped offset a slight disappointment from Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, which rose from a pandemic-era low of 312K to 332K during the week ended September 10. Nevertheless, the data pointed to the continuation of economic recovery and reaffirmed expectations about an imminent Fed taper announcement later this year.

This was reinforced by a sharp spike in the US Treasury bond yields. In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond rallied back to the 1.35% threshold, which further underpinned the greenback. The combination of factors lifted the USD/JPY pair back above the 109.45-50 strong horizontal support breakpoint.

Meanwhile, worries about the Delta variant and a global economic slowdown continued weighing on investors' sentiment. This was evident from a softer tone around the equity markets, which might underpin demand for the safe-haven Japanese yen and keep a lid on any further gains for the USD/JPY pair, at least for now.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price109.78
Today Daily Change0.41
Today Daily Change %0.37
Today daily open109.37
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.87
Daily SMA50109.91
Daily SMA100109.84
Daily SMA200108.04
 
Levels
Previous Daily High109.74
Previous Daily Low109.11
Previous Weekly High110.45
Previous Weekly Low109.62
Previous Monthly High110.8
Previous Monthly Low108.72
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%109.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.5
Daily Pivot Point S1109.07
Daily Pivot Point S2108.78
Daily Pivot Point S3108.44
Daily Pivot Point R1109.7
Daily Pivot Point R2110.04
Daily Pivot Point R3110.33

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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