USD/JPY Price Analysis: Turns south to test 100-SMA amid risk-aversion


  • USD/JPY is back in the red amid a renewed risk-off wave.
  • Rejection above 21-SMA calls for a retest of 100-SMA on the 4H chart.
  • RSI has pierced through the midline, more downside likely?

USD/JPY is trading below 114.00, having witnessed a sharp 60-pip drop in the last hour after a renewed risk-aversion wave gripped markets on the covid resurgence in the Euro area.

Austria announced a nationwide lockdown from Monday while Germany stated that it is in a national emergency state, due to the resurgence of the coronavirus in the bloc, which has triggered a flight to safety in the Japanese yen.

The downside remains cushioned amid a broadly strong US dollar, which also attracts safe-haven flows.

Looking ahead, the covid updates and Fedspeak will be closely eyed for fresh trading impetus on the major.

Looking at USD/JPY’s four-hour chart, the price came under massive selling pressure after it ran into strong offers once again just above the ascending 21-Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 114.38.

The latest sell-off has taken out the bullish 50-SMA support at 114.00, as bears now challenge the critical horizontal 100-SMA at 113.87.

A four-hourly candlestick closing below the latter will expose the upward-sloping 200-SMA support at 113.64.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has pierced through the midline, currently pointing south and allowing more room for declines.

USD/JPY: Daily chart

Any rebound will challenge the 50-SMA support-turned-resistance, above which the 21-SMA barrier will be back in play.

If the bulls succeed in recapturing the 21-SMA, then a retest of the daily highs at 114.54 could be in the offering.

USD/JPY: Additional levels to consider

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 113.88
Today Daily Change -0.22
Today Daily Change % -0.19
Today daily open 114.23
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 113.86
Daily SMA50 112.49
Daily SMA100 111.24
Daily SMA200 110.07
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 114.49
Previous Daily Low 113.88
Previous Weekly High 114.3
Previous Weekly Low 112.73
Previous Monthly High 114.7
Previous Monthly Low 110.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 114.26
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 114.11
Daily Pivot Point S1 113.91
Daily Pivot Point S2 113.59
Daily Pivot Point S3 113.3
Daily Pivot Point R1 114.52
Daily Pivot Point R2 114.81
Daily Pivot Point R3 115.13

 

 

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