|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Tanks from five-week highs as a bearish-engulfing candle emerges

  • USD/JPY sinks 100 pips and is losing more than 0.70% due to mixed US economic data.
  • A bearish-engulfing candle pattern in the daily chart could pave the way for further losses.
  • The USD/JPY is trading below the 100-hour EMA, with sellers keeping the fort afloat.

The USD/JPY plunges from weekly highs around 137.70 as US recession fears were fueled by mixed US economic data, dropping into contractionary territory, namely S&P Global Services and Composite PMIs, while the Manufacturing expanded. Nevertheless, traders took advantage of an overpriced US dollar and sent the major down. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 136.39, below its opening price by 0.80%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The daily chart shows that a bearish-engulfing candle pattern is emerging, which could pave the way for further losses. However, it’s worth noting that the pair tested the August 19 daily low at 135.71, but sellers could not hold buyers from reclaiming the 136.00 figure. Even though a bearish-engulfing candle pattern is bearish, sellers will face solid support at 135.71, followed by the 50-day EMA at 135.52.

The one-hour scale depicts that the USD/JPY broke below a confluence of the S1 daily pivot and a downslope trendline, exacerbating a fall towards the S3 pivot at 135.91, where USD buyers stepped in. Nevertheless, they’re facing resistance at the 100-hour EMA at 136,39, which, once cleared, could pave the way towards the 137.00 figure. Nonetheless, the most likely scenario is that the USD/JPY head downwards due to a confluence of the indicators tilting the pair as bearish,

Therefore, the USD/JPY first support will be the S3 pivot at 135-90. Break below will expose the August 7 high at 135.58, followed by the 200-hour EMA at 134.98.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price136.39
Today Daily Change-1.10
Today Daily Change %-0.80
Today daily open137.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA20134.5
Daily SMA50135.54
Daily SMA100132.12
Daily SMA200123.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High137.65
Previous Daily Low136.7
Previous Weekly High137.23
Previous Weekly Low132.56
Previous Monthly High139.39
Previous Monthly Low132.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%137.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%137.06
Daily Pivot Point S1136.9
Daily Pivot Point S2136.33
Daily Pivot Point S3135.95
Daily Pivot Point R1137.85
Daily Pivot Point R2138.22
Daily Pivot Point R3138.79

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1800 ahead of US data, Fedspeak

EUR/USD remains trapped in a tight range below 1.1800 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair struggles amid a modest US Dollar strength and an improvement in risk sentiment, even as US tariff uncertainty lingers. The focus now remains on the US data and Fedspeak. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3500 as USD firms up

GBP/USD stays on the back foot below 1.3500 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The pair declines as the US Dollar rebounds from losses recorded over the previous two sessions. Traders will focus on the US weekly ADP Employment Change and Consumer Confidence data due later in the day, along with speeches from Federal Reserve officials.

Gold holds pullback below $5,200 amid USD uptick

Gold holds moderate losses below $5,200 in European trading on Tuesday, though it lacks follow-through selling. Following the previous day's knee-jerk fall in reaction to US President Donald Trump's new global tariffs and the subsequent bounce, the US Dollar attracts fresh buyers ahead of mid-tier data and Fedspeak. 

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.

AI-scare trade and tariff uncertainty takes hold

It was quite a day, with AI-disruption fears and tariff uncertainty triggering a risk-off session. By now, it's nearly impossible to have missed the Supreme Court's 6-3 decision that struck down US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs last Friday.

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.