USD/JPY Price Analysis: Stills around 20-year highs, as traders eye 135.00

During the week, the USD/JPY is recording gains of almost 3%.
A risk-off market mood has not been an excuse for the buck to keep trending higher, underpinned by elevated US Treasury yields.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: To consolidate before resuming upwards.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

The Japanese yen continues weakening against the greenback as USD buyers mount against the weakest currency in the G10, also weighed by higher US Treasury yields, widening the bond spread between both countries. At 134.42, the USD/JPY lurks at the 135.00 psychological level, which analysts and former Japanese policymakers mentioned could trigger intervention in the Forex market.

At the time of writing, the US 10-year Treasury yield sits at 3.00%, flat in the day. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index, a gauge of the greenback’s value, rises 0.21%, currently at 102.545, a tailwind for the USD/JPY.

Sentiment-wise, Asian equity futures are mixed, with Japanese and Australian stock exchanges ready to open with losses. Chinese markets are poised for a higher open. Concerns about central banks tightening monetary policy might spur an economic slowdown loom.

On Wednesday, the USD/JPY opened near the session’s lows around 132.50 and rallied nonstop until the North American open, when it dipped towards 133.60, before resuming above 134.00.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY daily chart depicts the pair as upward biased, despite the parabolic upward move, from 126.86 to 134.40s, reaching a 20-year high. However, USD/JPY traders need to be aware that the last leg-up was printed on weaker momentum, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) begins to show a negative divergence between the major’s price action and the oscillator. Therefore, the USD/JPY might pull back before resuming the uptrend.

That said, the USD/JPY first support would be the psychological 134.00 mark. Break below would expose the June 8 low at 132.54, followed by the May 9 high at 131.34.

Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price	134.42
Today Daily Change	1.87
Today Daily Change %	1.41
Today daily open	132.59

Trends
Daily SMA20	128.9
Daily SMA50	127.74
Daily SMA100	122.08
Daily SMA200	117.59

Levels
Previous Daily High	133
Previous Daily Low	131.87
Previous Weekly High	130.98
Previous Weekly Low	126.95
Previous Monthly High	131.35
Previous Monthly Low	126.36
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	132.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	132.3
Daily Pivot Point S1	131.97
Daily Pivot Point S2	131.35
Daily Pivot Point S3	130.84
Daily Pivot Point R1	133.11
Daily Pivot Point R2	133.62
Daily Pivot Point R3	134.24

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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